J's Footy Alerts

West Brom v Birmingham

Championship · England · Saturday 10 October 2026, 12:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

45%West Brom
27%Draw
28%Birmingham
42%Over 2.5
58%Under 2.5
82%Home corners under 7.5 this league 76%
72%Home win or draw this league 70%
2.37Goals projected
10.3Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for West Brom and 10 for Birmingham. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 4.3
6.3
Shots 10.4
13.0
Shots on target 4.1
4.7
Fouls 9.6
12.0
Yellow cards 1.9
2.33
Offsides 2.4
2.0
Possession % 53.3
48.7
Expected goals 1.42
1.54
West Brom Birmingham

Recent form

West Brom at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L4 / 3 / 3
  • Points per game1.5
  • Goals scored a game1.1
  • Goals conceded a game1.0
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 3 / 0
  • Points per game1.8
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game0.6
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored60% (6 of 10)
  • Clean sheet30% (3 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides30% (3 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-20 · at Wolves 0-1
  • D 2026-09-12 · v QPR 1-1
  • W 2026-09-09 · at Derby 1-0
  • W 2026-09-05 · v Watford 1-0
  • D 2026-09-02 · v Charlton 1-1
  • L 2026-08-29 · at Middlesbrough 1-3
  • W 2026-08-23 · v Burnley 3-1
  • W 2026-08-15 · at Norwich 2-1
  • L 2026-05-02 · at Sheffield Wednesday 1-2
  • D 2026-04-25 · v Ipswich 0-0
Birmingham away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 6 / 1
  • Points per game1.5
  • Goals scored a game1.5
  • Goals conceded a game1.3
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 2 / 1
  • Points per game1.6
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.0
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored90% (9 of 10)
  • Clean sheet10% (1 of 10)
  • Failed to score10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards56% (5 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards22% (2 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • D 2026-09-19 · v Middlesbrough 2-2
  • W 2026-09-12 · at Derby 2-1
  • L 2026-09-09 · at Norwich 1-2
  • D 2026-09-06 · v Wolves 2-2
  • D 2026-09-01 · v Southampton 1-1
  • W 2026-08-28 · at Wrexham 2-1
  • D 2026-08-22 · v Bristol City 2-2
  • D 2026-08-15 · at Sheffield Utd 0-0
  • D 2026-05-02 · at Portsmouth 1-1
  • W 2026-04-25 · v Bristol City 2-1

Head to head

100%
0 West Brom 0% 2 drawn 100% 0 Birmingham 0%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from West Brom's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

West Brom
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Jimmy Morgan F 7 2 3 1
Isaac Price M 8 2 1 1
Callum Styles D 8 2 0 0
Aune Selland Heggebø F 7 2 0 0
Harry Whitwell M 6 1 1 2
J. Morgan F 2 1 0 1
Max O'Leary G 8 0 1 0
Felix Horn Myhre M 6 0 1 0
George Campbell D 8 0 0 1
Jayson Molumby M 8 0 0 1
Nathaniel Phillips D 8 0 0 3
Ousmane Diakité M 8 0 0 4
Rabby Nzingoula M 8 0 0 0
Nolan Galves D 6 0 0 0
B. Stewart F 4 0 0 0
Barney Stewart F 4 0 0 0
Chris Mepham D 4 0 0 0
Kareem Tunde M 4 0 0 0
C. Townsend D 3 0 0 0
Tobias Christopher Collyer M 2 0 0 0
B. Pereira D 1 0 0 0
Krystian Bielik D 1 0 0 0
Birmingham
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Carlos Vicente M 8 2 0 2
Phil Neumann D 8 2 0 3
Liam Millar M 4 1 3 0
August Priske F 7 1 1 1
Jay Stansfield M 8 1 0 0
Seung Ho Paik M 8 1 0 0
Demarai Gray M 5 1 0 0
Patrick Roberts M 5 0 2 1
Alex Cochrane D 8 0 1 2
Jhon Solís M 6 0 1 1
Bright Osayi-Samuel D 8 0 0 3
Christoph Klarer D 8 0 0 1
James Beadle G 8 0 0 0
Luis Vázquez F 8 0 0 2
Tomoki Iwata M 8 0 0 0
Ethan Laird D 7 0 0 0
Marvin Ducksch F 4 0 0 0
Dael Fry D 2 0 0 0
K. Lund D 2 0 0 0
Max Bird M 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.