J's Footy Alerts

Utrecht v Willem II

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Sunday 11 October 2026, 11:15 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

59%Utrecht
22%Draw
20%Willem II
53%Over 2.5
47%Under 2.5
83%Home corners over 3.5 this league 79%
80%Home win or draw this league 68%
2.79Goals projected
6.9Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Utrecht and 10 for Willem II. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 3.8
4.5
Shots 12.9
12.2
Shots on target 4.5
3.4
Fouls 15.7
10.4
Yellow cards 1.78
1.56
Offsides 1.67
1.22
Possession % 43.1
42.3
Utrecht Willem II

Recent form

Utrecht at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
  • Points per game1.2
  • Goals scored a game1.6
  • Goals conceded a game2.6
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 1 / 2
  • Points per game1.4
  • Goals scored a game2.0
  • Goals conceded a game3.0
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored70% (7 of 10)
  • Clean sheet20% (2 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards33% (3 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards22% (2 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides22% (2 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides11% (1 of 9)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-20 · at Feyenoord 0-5
  • W 2026-09-13 · at Excelsior 2-1
  • D 2026-09-05 · v GO Ahead Eagles 3-3
  • L 2026-08-30 · v PSV Eindhoven 1-6
  • D 2026-08-22 · at Sparta Rotterdam 3-3
  • L 2026-08-15 · v AZ Alkmaar 1-4
  • L 2026-08-09 · at Groningen 1-2
  • D 2026-05-24 · at Ajax 0-0
  • W 2026-05-21 · v Heerenveen 3-2
  • W 2026-05-17 · v Fortuna Sittard 2-0
Willem II away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L1 / 3 / 6
  • Points per game0.6
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game2.7
Last 4 away
  • Played4
  • W / D / L0 / 2 / 2
  • Points per game0.5
  • Goals scored a game1.25
  • Goals conceded a game3.0
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored80% (8 of 10)
  • Clean sheet0% (0 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards22% (2 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards0% (0 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides33% (3 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides11% (1 of 9)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-19 · v Fortuna Sittard 0-1
  • L 2026-09-15 · at Ajax 1-5
  • D 2026-09-11 · at AZ Alkmaar 1-1
  • L 2026-09-05 · v Excelsior 0-3
  • D 2026-08-30 · v Heerenveen 2-2
  • L 2026-08-15 · v NEC Nijmegen 1-4
  • L 2026-08-08 · at GO Ahead Eagles 1-4
  • L 2025-06-01 · v Telstar 1-3
  • D 2025-05-29 · at Telstar 2-2
  • W 2025-05-24 · v Dordrecht 3-2

Head to head

100%
2 Utrecht 100% 0 drawn 0% 0 Willem II 0%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Utrecht's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Utrecht
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Artem Stepanov F 3 3 0 1
Adrian Blake F 7 2 0 0
Dani De Wit M 7 2 0 2
Matisse Didden D 5 2 0 0
Artem Stepanov F 3 2 0 1
Davy van den Berg M 7 0 2 1
Yoann Cathline M 7 0 2 0
Niklas Vesterlund M 6 0 2 0
Arthur Zagre M 7 0 0 2
Siebe Horemans D 7 0 0 1
Ángel Alarcón M 7 0 0 0
Vasilis Barkas G 6 0 0 1
Guus Offerhaus M 5 0 0 2
Sem van Duijn F 4 0 0 0
J. Medić D 3 0 0 0
Joris van Overeem M 3 0 0 1
Kevin Paredes M 3 0 0 0
M. Broholm F 3 0 0 1
N. Panagiotou D 3 0 0 1
Neville Nwankwo D 3 0 0 0
David Min F 2 0 0 0
Ferdinand Pohl M 2 0 0 1
Mike Eerdhuijzen D 2 0 0 0
Per Kloosterboer D 2 0 0 0
Zidane Iqbal M 2 0 0 0
Emmanuel Owen F 1 0 0 0
Willem II
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Devin Haen F 7 3 0 0
Uriel van Aalst M 7 1 2 1
Alessandro Ciranni M 5 1 0 0
Thomas Verheydt F 5 1 0 0
Nathan Tjoe-A-On D 7 0 2 2
Hidde ter Avest D 6 0 1 0
Calvin Twigt M 5 0 1 0
Finn Stam D 7 0 0 0
Jaden Slory M 7 0 0 1
Mats Lemmens D 7 0 0 0
Eser Gürbüz M 6 0 0 0
Per van Loon M 6 0 0 0
Kasper Boogaard M 5 0 0 1
Maxim Dekker D 4 0 0 0
Maxime Delanghe G 4 0 0 0
Tonny Vilhena M 4 0 0 1
Amine Et-Taibi D 3 0 0 0
Justin Hoogma D 3 0 0 0
O. Martin F 3 0 0 0
Karst de Leeuw G 2 0 0 0
Divano Fernandez Iglesias M 1 0 0 0
Ismael Mouhoul M 1 0 0 1
Julian van Esdonk M 1 0 0 0
Thomas Didillon G 1 0 0 0
V. van Crooij M 1 0 0 1
Wouter Van der Steen G 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.