J's Footy Alerts

Swindon Town v Crewe

League Two · England · Saturday 10 October 2026, 12:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

45%Swindon Town
26%Draw
29%Crewe
52%Over 2.5
48%Under 2.5
86%Away corners over 2.5 this league 77%
71%Home win or draw this league 76%
2.76Goals projected
10.2Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Swindon Town and 10 for Crewe. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 4.6
5.5
Shots 9.5
11.5
Shots on target 3.5
3.2
Fouls 10.4
13.2
Yellow cards 1.7
1.8
Offsides 1.89
2.8
Possession % 45.4
50.4
Swindon Town Crewe

Recent form

Swindon Town at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 2 / 5
  • Points per game1.1
  • Goals scored a game1.0
  • Goals conceded a game1.5
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L3 / 1 / 1
  • Points per game2.0
  • Goals scored a game2.0
  • Goals conceded a game1.2
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored50% (5 of 10)
  • Clean sheet10% (1 of 10)
  • Failed to score50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides78% (7 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides56% (5 of 9)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-10-03 · at Rochdale 0-1
  • D 2026-09-26 · v Accrington ST 1-1
  • L 2026-09-19 · at Salford City 0-1
  • L 2026-09-12 · at York 0-4
  • W 2026-09-05 · v Colchester 3-1
  • W 2026-09-01 · v Port Vale 3-1
  • L 2026-08-29 · at Oldham 0-3
  • W 2026-08-22 · v Cheltenham 2-1
  • D 2026-08-15 · at Northampton 0-0
  • L 2026-05-02 · v Chesterfield 1-2
Crewe away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 7 / 0
  • Points per game1.6
  • Goals scored a game1.1
  • Goals conceded a game0.7
Last 4 away
  • Played4
  • W / D / L1 / 3 / 0
  • Points per game1.5
  • Goals scored a game0.75
  • Goals conceded a game0.5
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored60% (6 of 10)
  • Clean sheet40% (4 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides20% (2 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-10-03 · v Bristol Rovers 3-1
  • D 2026-09-26 · at Rotherham 1-1
  • D 2026-09-19 · v Shrewsbury 1-1
  • D 2026-09-12 · at Colchester 1-1
  • D 2026-09-05 · v York 1-1
  • D 2026-09-01 · v Walsall 2-2
  • D 2026-08-29 · at Port Vale 0-0
  • W 2026-08-22 · v Northampton 1-0
  • W 2026-08-15 · at Crawley Town 1-0
  • D 2026-05-02 · v Cambridge United 0-0

Head to head

25% 50% 25%
1 Swindon Town 25% 2 drawn 50% 1 Crewe 25%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Swindon Town's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Swindon Town
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Aaron Drinan F 9 5 0 0
Ollie Clarke M 8 1 0 2
Ben Middlemas M 6 1 0 0
Joseph Hungbo F 6 1 0 0
Louis Millard M 6 1 0 0
Anthony Munda M 8 0 2 1
Stephan Negru D 9 0 1 0
Jack Thomson M 7 0 1 1
D. Butler M 5 0 1 1
Connor Ripley G 9 0 0 1
Kaelan Majekodunmi D 9 0 0 2
Billy Kirkman F 7 0 0 0
Mitchell Clark D 6 0 0 1
Tom Nichols M 6 0 0 1
A. Hackford F 5 0 0 0
James Ball M 5 0 0 1
D. Butterworth M 4 0 0 1
James Debayo D 4 0 0 1
Joe Snowdon M 4 0 0 0
Ollie Palmer F 4 0 0 0
Paul Glatzel F 4 0 0 0
Ryan Tafazolli D 4 0 0 0
Jaylan Pearman M 3 0 0 0
Matthew Virtue-Thick M 3 0 0 1
Lucas Griffiths-Brown D 1 0 0 0
Crewe
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Josh March M 9 3 1 2
Jack Lankester M 9 2 0 0
Jordan Gibson M 9 2 0 1
Luke Offord M 9 1 0 1
Joshua Stephenson D 8 1 0 2
Reece Hutchinson M 5 1 0 0
Joel Tabiner M 9 0 4 0
Lewis Billington D 9 0 1 1
Calum Agius M 7 0 1 2
Charlie McNeill F 9 0 0 0
Tom Booth G 9 0 0 0
Adrien Thibaut F 8 0 0 0
Joe White M 8 0 0 2
Matúš Holíček M 8 0 0 0
Kyle Ure M 5 0 0 1
Mickey Demetriou D 5 0 0 3
Conor Thomas M 3 0 0 1
O. Lunt M 3 0 0 1
L. Moore M 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.