Premier League · England
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
34%Sunderland
27%Draw
39%Brighton
51%Over 2.5
49%Under 2.5
93%Home fouls under 14.5this league 86%
90%Home corners under 7.5this league 78%
2.7Goals projected
10.4Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Sunderland and
10 for Brighton. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners4.0
5.8
Shots13.3
16.9
Shots on target4.4
5.8
Fouls12.5
11.9
Yellow cards2.1
1.7
Offsides1.67
1.89
Possession %49.1
63.4
Expected goals1.2
2.06
Sunderland Brighton
Recent form
Sunderlandat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game1.2
Goals conceded a game1.8
Last 5 at home
Played5
W / D / L2 / 1 / 2
Points per game1.4
Goals scored a game0.6
Goals conceded a game1.6
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet20%(2 of 10)
Failed to score30%(3 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners20%(2 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards40%(4 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots30%(3 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides22%(2 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides11%(1 of 9)
Results, newest first
L
2026-09-19 · at Manchester City
3-5
L
2026-09-12 · v Arsenal
0-2
D
2026-09-05 · at Brentford
1-1
W
2026-08-30 · v Fulham
1-0
L
2026-08-22 · at Ipswich
1-2
W
2026-05-24 · v Chelsea
2-1
W
2026-05-17 · at Everton
3-1
D
2026-05-09 · v Manchester United
0-0
D
2026-05-02 · at Wolves
1-1
L
2026-04-24 · v Nottingham Forest
0-5
Brightonaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L5 / 1 / 4
Points per game1.6
Goals scored a game2.3
Goals conceded a game1.2
Last 4 away
Played4
W / D / L1 / 0 / 3
Points per game0.75
Goals scored a game2.25
Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored30%(3 of 10)
Clean sheet50%(5 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards40%(4 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides67%(6 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides33%(3 of 9)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-19 · v Arsenal
3-0
W
2026-09-13 · at Coventry
5-0
D
2026-09-05 · v Leeds
1-1
L
2026-08-30 · at Chelsea
3-4
W
2026-08-23 · v Aston Villa
4-0
L
2026-05-24 · v Manchester United
0-3
L
2026-05-17 · at Leeds
0-1
W
2026-05-09 · v Wolves
3-0
L
2026-05-02 · at Newcastle
1-3
W
2026-04-21 · v Chelsea
3-0
Head to head
50%50%
0 Sunderland 0%1 drawn 50%1 Brighton 50%
Last 2 meetings, goals a game0.5
L2026-03-14 · Premier League ·
Sunderland v Brighton0-1
D2025-12-20 · Premier League ·
Brighton v Sunderland0-0
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Sunderland's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Sunderland
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Brian Brobbey
F
5
3
0
1
Enzo Le Fée
M
5
1
1
0
Nilson Angulo
M
5
1
1
1
Wilson Isidor
F
5
1
0
0
Thomas Meunier
M
5
0
1
0
Habib Diarra
M
2
0
1
0
Daniel Ballard
D
5
0
0
2
Granit Xhaka
M
5
0
0
2
Noah Sadiki
M
5
0
0
1
Robin Roefs
G
5
0
0
0
Nordi Mukiele
D
4
0
0
1
Reinildo Mandava
D
4
0
0
0
Trai Hume
M
4
0
0
0
Kevin Danso
D
3
0
0
0
Malick Fofana
F
3
0
0
0
Chris Rigg
M
2
0
0
0
Chemsdine Talbi
F
1
0
0
0
D. Methalie
D
1
0
0
1
Luke O'Nien
D
1
0
0
1
Omar Alderete
D
1
0
0
0
Romaine Mundle
F
1
0
0
0
Brighton
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Pascal Groß
M
5
3
3
2
Charalampos Kostoulas
F
5
2
1
1
Malick Yalcouyé
M
5
2
0
0
Jack Hinshelwood
M
1
2
0
0
Maxim De Cuyper
M
5
1
2
2
José María Andrés Baixauli
M
2
1
1
0
Luka Vušković
D
5
1
0
0
Lewis Dunk
D
4
1
0
1
Yasin Ayari
M
4
1
0
1
Diego Gómez
M
5
0
2
0
Georginio Rutter
F
2
0
1
0
Bart Verbruggen
G
5
0
0
0
Costinha
D
5
0
0
1
Olivier Boscagli
M
5
0
0
1
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
D
4
0
0
1
Ibrahim Osman
F
3
0
0
0
Pascal Struijk
D
3
0
0
1
M. O'Riley
M
2
0
0
0
Mats Wieffer
D
2
0
0
0
Promise David
F
2
0
0
1
M. Svoboda
D
1
0
0
0
Zadok Yohanna
F
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.