J's Footy Alerts

Southampton v Portsmouth

Championship · England · Sunday 11 October 2026, 12:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

68%Southampton
18%Draw
14%Portsmouth
61%Over 2.5
39%Under 2.5
87%Away corners over 2.5 this league 81%
86%Home win or draw this league 70%
3.16Goals projected
13.8Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Southampton and 10 for Portsmouth. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 5.7
5.4
Shots 15.6
13.5
Shots on target 4.6
3.9
Fouls 9.3
12.4
Yellow cards 2.0
1.0
Offsides 2.56
1.6
Possession % 56.2
51.1
Expected goals 1.72
1.15
Southampton Portsmouth

Recent form

Southampton at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L4 / 4 / 2
  • Points per game1.6
  • Goals scored a game2.0
  • Goals conceded a game1.1
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L4 / 1 / 0
  • Points per game2.6
  • Goals scored a game3.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.0
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored90% (9 of 10)
  • Clean sheet10% (1 of 10)
  • Failed to score10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides44% (4 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides33% (3 of 9)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-19 · at Wrexham 1-2
  • W 2026-09-12 · v Bristol City 4-1
  • W 2026-09-08 · v Swansea 3-1
  • D 2026-09-05 · at Lincoln 1-1
  • D 2026-09-01 · at Birmingham 1-1
  • W 2026-08-29 · v Millwall 5-1
  • W 2026-08-22 · v Stoke City 3-1
  • L 2026-08-16 · at Watford 1-2
  • D 2026-05-12 · v Middlesbrough 1-1
  • D 2026-05-09 · at Middlesbrough 0-0
Portsmouth away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
  • Points per game1.2
  • Goals scored a game1.4
  • Goals conceded a game1.7
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 1 / 2
  • Points per game1.4
  • Goals scored a game1.6
  • Goals conceded a game1.8
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored70% (7 of 10)
  • Clean sheet20% (2 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards0% (0 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • D 2026-09-19 · v Blackburn 2-2
  • D 2026-09-12 · at Charlton 0-0
  • W 2026-09-05 · v Cardiff 2-0
  • L 2026-09-01 · v Derby 0-2
  • L 2026-08-29 · at Bristol City 1-2
  • W 2026-08-22 · at Lincoln 3-1
  • L 2026-08-15 · v QPR 1-3
  • D 2026-05-02 · v Birmingham 1-1
  • W 2026-04-25 · at Stoke City 3-1
  • L 2026-04-21 · at Coventry 1-5

Head to head

100%
0 Southampton 0% 2 drawn 100% 0 Portsmouth 0%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Southampton's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Southampton
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Cyle Larin F 8 7 0 2
Finn Azaz M 8 3 4 0
Léo Scienza M 8 2 2 0
Divin Mubama F 8 1 1 1
Kuryu Matsuki M 8 1 1 0
Ryan Manning D 8 1 1 3
James Ward-Prowse M 6 1 1 0
Keven Schlotterbeck D 6 1 0 0
Tom Fellows M 6 1 0 1
Welington D 2 1 0 0
Flynn Downes M 8 0 2 3
James Bree D 8 0 1 2
Cameron Bragg M 6 0 1 0
Samuel Edozie M 5 0 1 0
Daniel Peretz G 8 0 0 0
Lewis Dobbin M 7 0 0 0
Nathan Wood D 7 0 0 2
Jack Stephens D 4 0 0 0
Ben Brereton Díaz F 1 0 0 0
Romeo Akachukwu M 1 0 0 0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis D 1 0 0 0
Portsmouth
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Marko Milovanović F 5 2 0 0
Adrian Segečić M 7 1 1 0
Ebou Adams M 7 1 1 1
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen M 7 1 1 0
Colby Bishop F 7 1 0 0
Zak Swanson D 7 1 0 1
Conor Shaughnessy D 6 1 0 0
Terry Devlin D 6 1 0 1
Abu Kamara M 7 0 1 0
T. Shade M 3 0 1 0
Rocco Robert Shein M 7 0 0 1
Benjamin Arthur D 6 0 0 0
Marlon Pack M 6 0 0 1
Daniel Bielica G 4 0 0 0
Iyad Mohamed M 3 0 0 0
J. Meghoma D 3 0 0 0
Luke Brooke-Smith M 3 0 0 0
Madiodio Dia D 3 0 0 0
Nicolas Schmid G 3 0 0 0
Odin Bailey M 3 0 0 0
Regan Poole D 3 0 0 0
Josh Murphy M 2 0 0 0
Harvey Blair F 1 0 0 0
John Swift M 1 0 0 0
Josh Knight D 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.