J's Footy Alerts

SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga · Germany · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

No projection for this one. One of these sides has played fewer than 8 games in this division, so its form was earned against a different standard of opposition and the model would read it wrong.

10.6Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 6 for SC Paderborn 07 and 10 for VfB Stuttgart. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 6.0
6.9
Shots 14.67
16.2
Shots on target 3.17
6.5
Fouls 11.17
9.4
Yellow cards 2.17
1.56
Offsides 0.83
2.0
Possession % 48.33
52.6
SC Paderborn 07 VfB Stuttgart

Recent form

SC Paderborn 07 at home
Last 6 in this league
  • Played6
  • W / D / L1 / 3 / 2
  • Points per game1.0
  • Goals scored a game0.67
  • Goals conceded a game1.0
Last 3 at home
  • Played3
  • W / D / L1 / 1 / 1
  • Points per game1.33
  • Goals scored a game1.33
  • Goals conceded a game1.0
How often, last 6
  • Both teams scored33% (2 of 6)
  • Clean sheet33% (2 of 6)
  • Failed to score67% (4 of 6)
  • Over 1.5 match goals50% (3 of 6)
  • Over 2.5 match goals33% (2 of 6)
  • Over 3.5 match goals17% (1 of 6)
  • Over 8.5 match corners83% (5 of 6)
  • Over 9.5 match corners67% (4 of 6)
  • Over 3.5 match cards50% (3 of 6)
  • Over 4.5 match cards50% (3 of 6)
  • Over 24.5 match shots67% (4 of 6)
  • Over 26.5 match shots67% (4 of 6)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target50% (3 of 6)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target17% (1 of 6)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides33% (2 of 6)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides17% (1 of 6)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-20 · v 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1
  • L 2026-09-12 · at Borussia Dortmund 0-3
  • L 2026-09-05 · v SC Freiburg 0-1
  • D 2026-08-29 · at FSV Mainz 05 0-0
  • D 2026-05-25 · v VfL Wolfsburg 1-1
  • D 2026-05-21 · at VfL Wolfsburg 0-0
VfB Stuttgart away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
  • Points per game1.2
  • Goals scored a game2.1
  • Goals conceded a game2.0
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L0 / 2 / 3
  • Points per game0.4
  • Goals scored a game1.8
  • Goals conceded a game3.2
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored80% (8 of 10)
  • Clean sheet10% (1 of 10)
  • Failed to score10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards56% (5 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards22% (2 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-19 · v Borussia Dortmund 0-1
  • L 2026-09-12 · at 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2
  • W 2026-09-04 · v 1. FC Köln 4-1
  • L 2026-08-28 · at Bayern München 1-5
  • D 2026-05-16 · at Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2
  • W 2026-05-09 · v Bayer Leverkusen 3-1
  • D 2026-05-02 · at 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3
  • D 2026-04-26 · v Werder Bremen 1-1
  • L 2026-04-19 · at Bayern München 2-4
  • W 2026-04-12 · v Hamburger SV 4-0

Head to head

These two have not met in any competition we hold data for.

Squads this season

SC Paderborn 07
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Santiago Castañeda M 4 1 0 1
Stefano Marino F 4 1 0 0
Steffen Tigges F 4 1 0 0
Laurin Curda M 4 0 1 1
Jonah Sticker M 3 0 1 0
Gabriel Vidović M 4 0 0 0
Jano Ter-Horst D 4 0 0 1
Laurin Ulrich M 4 0 0 1
Marvin Pieringer F 4 0 0 0
Mattes Hansen D 4 0 0 1
Nahuel Noll G 4 0 0 0
Raphael Obermair M 4 0 0 0
Tjark Lasse Scheller D 4 0 0 1
Rayan Philippe F 3 0 0 0
Clemens Lippmann M 2 0 0 0
Oliver Batista Meier M 2 0 0 0
Tom Baack M 2 0 0 0
F. Götze D 1 0 0 0
L. Đurić M 1 0 0 0
Niklas Mohr D 1 0 0 0
VfB Stuttgart
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Josha Vagnoman M 4 2 1 0
Maximilian Mittelstädt M 4 1 1 1
Bilal El Khannouss M 4 1 0 0
Ermedin Demirović M 4 1 0 1
Grischa Prömel M 4 1 0 1
Finn Jeltsch D 4 0 1 1
Angelo Stiller M 4 0 0 1
Deniz Undav M 4 0 0 0
Dženan Pejčinović F 4 0 0 0
Fabian Bredlow G 4 0 0 0
Jamie Leweling F 4 0 0 0
Jeff Chabot D 4 0 0 1
C. Führich M 3 0 0 0
L. Sauer F 3 0 0 0
Ramon Hendriks D 3 0 0 0
Y. Spalt D 2 0 0 0
Chema Andrés M 1 0 0 0
Leonidas Stergiou D 1 0 0 0
N. Nartey M 1 0 0 0
Tiago Tomás F 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.