La Liga · Spain
· Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
56%Rayo Vallecano
24%Draw
19%Athletic Club
46%Over 2.5
54%Under 2.5
88%Away fouls over 8.5this league 84%
86%Away corners over 2.5this league 73%
81%Home win or drawthis league 71%
2.52Goals projected
11.4Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Rayo Vallecano and
10 for Athletic Club. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners4.4
6.5
Shots13.0
15.4
Shots on target4.9
4.7
Fouls14.0
12.4
Yellow cards2.3
1.78
Offsides1.3
1.6
Possession %49.2
49.0
Expected goals1.3
1.34
Rayo Vallecano Athletic Club
Recent form
Rayo Vallecanoat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L4 / 3 / 3
Points per game1.5
Goals scored a game1.6
Goals conceded a game1.8
Last 4 at home
Played4
W / D / L3 / 1 / 0
Points per game2.5
Goals scored a game2.0
Goals conceded a game1.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored90%(9 of 10)
Clean sheet10%(1 of 10)
Failed to score0%(0 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals100%(10 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides20%(2 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides20%(2 of 10)
Results, newest first
D
2026-09-20 · at Osasuna
1-1
W
2026-09-16 · v Espanyol
2-1
L
2026-09-13 · at Real Madrid
1-4
W
2026-09-05 · v Racing Santander
3-2
L
2026-08-31 · at Barcelona
2-5
D
2026-08-20 · v Alaves
1-1
L
2026-08-15 · at Sevilla
1-2
W
2026-05-23 · at Alaves
2-1
W
2026-05-17 · v Villarreal
2-0
D
2026-05-14 · at Valencia
1-1
Athletic Clubaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L2 / 3 / 5
Points per game0.9
Goals scored a game1.0
Goals conceded a game1.4
Last 4 away
Played4
W / D / L1 / 0 / 3
Points per game0.75
Goals scored a game1.0
Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored40%(4 of 10)
Clean sheet30%(3 of 10)
Failed to score40%(4 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals20%(2 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards44%(4 of 9)
Over 4.5 match cards33%(3 of 9)
Over 24.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots20%(2 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides50%(5 of 10)
Results, newest first
D
2026-09-20 · v Alaves
0-0
D
2026-09-13 · v Elche
1-1
W
2026-09-05 · v Atletico Madrid
3-0
W
2026-08-30 · at Celta Vigo
2-0
L
2026-08-27 · at Barcelona
0-2
L
2026-08-22 · v Sevilla
1-3
L
2026-05-23 · at Real Madrid
2-4
D
2026-05-17 · v Celta Vigo
1-1
L
2026-05-13 · at Espanyol
0-2
L
2026-05-10 · v Valencia
0-1
Head to head
25%75%
0 Rayo Vallecano 0%1 drawn 25%3 Athletic Club 75%
Last 4 meetings, goals a game2.5
D2026-02-28 · La Liga ·
Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club1-1
L2025-08-25 · La Liga ·
Athletic Club v Rayo Vallecano1-0
L2025-04-13 · La Liga ·
Athletic Club v Rayo Vallecano3-1
L2024-12-01 · La Liga ·
Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club1-2
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Rayo Vallecano's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Rayo Vallecano
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Sergio Camello
F
7
7
1
2
Álvaro García
M
7
2
2
1
Adrià Pedrosa
D
5
1
1
1
Andrei Rațiu
D
6
1
0
0
Unai López
M
7
0
3
2
Jorge de Frutos
M
5
0
1
0
Florian Lejeune
D
7
0
0
1
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
M
7
0
0
4
Óscar Valentín
M
7
0
0
1
Alemão
F
6
0
0
2
Iván Balliu
D
6
0
0
0
Pedro Díaz
M
6
0
0
0
Fran Pérez
M
5
0
0
1
Gnangoro Bouaré
M
5
0
0
1
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
M
4
0
0
1
Dani Cárdenas
G
3
0
0
0
E. Audero
G
3
0
0
0
Mujaid Sadick
D
3
0
0
0
Randy Nteka
M
3
0
0
0
Augusto Batalla
G
2
0
0
0
Isi Palazón
M
2
0
0
0
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D
2
0
0
0
Pelayo Fernández
D
2
0
0
0
Rayane Belid
F
1
0
0
0
Athletic Club
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Robert Navarro
M
5
2
0
1
Iñaki Williams
M
6
1
2
0
Álex Berenguer
M
6
1
1
1
Nico Williams
M
6
1
0
0
Oihan Sancet
M
6
1
0
0
Aitor Paredes
D
4
1
0
0
Ruíz de Galarreta
M
5
0
1
2
Yeray Álvarez
D
4
0
1
0
Aymeric Laporte
D
6
0
0
0
Unai Simón
G
6
0
0
0
Beñat Gerenabarrena
M
5
0
0
2
Jesús Areso
D
5
0
0
1
Johaneko Louis Jean
D
5
0
0
1
Mikel Jauregizar
M
5
0
0
0
Yuri Berchiche
D
5
0
0
2
Gorka Guruzeta
F
4
0
0
2
Peio Canales
M
4
0
0
0
Maroan Sannadi
F
3
0
0
0
Hugo Rincón
D
2
0
0
0
Adama Boiro
D
1
0
0
0
Nico Serrano
F
1
0
0
0
Álvaro Djaló
F
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.