J's Footy Alerts

Preston v Millwall

Championship · England · Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

22%Preston
24%Draw
54%Millwall
45%Over 2.5
55%Under 2.5
93%Away corners over 2.5 this league 81%
78%Draw or away win this league 60%
2.48Goals projected
11.1Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Preston and 10 for Millwall. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 5.7
4.8
Shots 13.1
14.5
Shots on target 3.6
4.0
Fouls 11.8
12.5
Yellow cards 2.5
1.3
Offsides 1.3
3.1
Possession % 42.6
47.9
Expected goals 1.73
1.53
Preston Millwall

Recent form

Preston at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L2 / 1 / 7
  • Points per game0.7
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game2.0
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L1 / 0 / 4
  • Points per game0.6
  • Goals scored a game1.0
  • Goals conceded a game2.2
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored80% (8 of 10)
  • Clean sheet0% (0 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • D 2026-09-19 · at QPR 2-2
  • L 2026-09-12 · v Lincoln 0-1
  • L 2026-09-08 · at Watford 1-2
  • W 2026-09-05 · v Blackburn 2-1
  • L 2026-09-01 · v Bristol City 1-3
  • L 2026-08-29 · at Charlton 0-1
  • L 2026-08-22 · v Wolves 1-3
  • L 2026-08-15 · at Bolton 1-2
  • L 2026-05-02 · v Southampton 1-3
  • W 2026-04-25 · at Sheffield Utd 3-2
Millwall away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
  • Points per game1.2
  • Goals scored a game1.5
  • Goals conceded a game1.7
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L1 / 2 / 2
  • Points per game1.0
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored40% (4 of 10)
  • Clean sheet40% (4 of 10)
  • Failed to score30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides30% (3 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • D 2026-09-19 · v West Ham 2-2
  • L 2026-09-12 · at Blackburn 1-3
  • D 2026-09-08 · at Middlesbrough 2-2
  • W 2026-09-05 · v Bolton 4-0
  • L 2026-09-02 · v Wrexham 0-3
  • L 2026-08-29 · at Southampton 1-5
  • W 2026-08-22 · v Norwich 3-0
  • W 2026-08-15 · at Bristol City 2-0
  • L 2026-05-11 · v Hull City 0-2
  • D 2026-05-08 · at Hull City 0-0

Head to head

50% 50%
0 Preston 0% 2 drawn 50% 2 Millwall 50%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Preston's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Preston
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Callum Lang M 8 3 0 0
J. Kenny F 4 2 0 0
Jordan Thompson M 8 1 1 3
Jusef Erabi F 8 1 0 0
Caleb Wiley M 3 1 0 0
Delano Burgzorg M 7 0 2 1
Andrija Vukčević D 7 0 1 1
Stanley Mills M 6 0 1 1
Alfie Devine M 8 0 0 0
Daniel Iversen G 8 0 0 0
Leo Leroy M 8 0 0 2
Harry Clarke M 7 0 0 4
Jordan Storey D 6 0 0 0
Odeluga Offiah D 6 0 0 0
Thierry Small D 6 0 0 0
Lewis Gibson D 5 0 0 1
Andrew Hughes D 4 0 0 2
L. Gibbs M 4 0 0 0
Liam Lindsay D 4 0 0 1
Ali McCann M 2 0 0 2
Pol Valentín D 2 0 0 1
Andrew Moran M 1 0 0 0
George Gryba F 1 0 0 0
Harvey Higgins 1 0 0 0
Milutin Osmajić F 1 0 0 0
Millwall
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Lyndon Dykes M 8 4 1 1
Tairyk Arconte M 7 3 0 0
Camiel Neghli M 8 2 2 0
Caleb Taylor D 8 2 1 0
Josh Coburn F 4 2 0 1
Mark Sykes M 7 1 0 2
Luke Cundle M 5 1 0 0
Jenson Metcalfe M 8 0 2 3
Jake Cooper D 8 0 1 0
Zak Sturge M 8 0 1 1
Zak Lovelace F 6 0 1 0
Daniel Kelly M 7 0 0 0
Elkan Baggott D 6 0 0 0
Jordi Osei-Tutu D 6 0 0 0
Derek Mazou-Sacko M 5 0 0 1
Max Crocombe G 5 0 0 0
Casper De Norre M 4 0 0 1
Kyrell Lisbie F 4 0 0 1
Y. Issoufou F 3 0 0 0
Lukas Jensen G 2 0 0 0
R. Esse M 2 0 0 0
Alfie Massey M 1 0 0 0
F. Marschall G 1 0 0 0
Femi Azeez F 1 0 0 0
J. Metcalfe M 1 0 0 0
M. Servais M 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.