J's Footy Alerts

Port Vale v Grimsby

League Two · England · Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

No projection for this one. One of these sides has played fewer than 8 games in this division, so its form was earned against a different standard of opposition and the model would read it wrong.

9.9Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Port Vale and 10 for Grimsby. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 5.2
6.6
Shots 11.1
15.4
Shots on target 3.4
4.6
Fouls 14.1
13.3
Yellow cards 1.7
1.5
Offsides 1.7
3.0
Possession % 52.5
55.6
Port Vale Grimsby

Recent form

Port Vale at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L2 / 3 / 5
  • Points per game0.9
  • Goals scored a game0.7
  • Goals conceded a game1.2
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L1 / 3 / 1
  • Points per game1.2
  • Goals scored a game0.8
  • Goals conceded a game0.8
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored30% (3 of 10)
  • Clean sheet30% (3 of 10)
  • Failed to score50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-19 · at Walsall 0-2
  • W 2026-09-12 · v Exeter City 1-0
  • L 2026-09-05 · at Salford City 0-1
  • L 2026-09-01 · at Swindon Town 1-3
  • D 2026-08-29 · v Crewe 0-0
  • D 2026-08-22 · v Tranmere 1-1
  • L 2026-08-15 · at Oldham 0-2
  • L 2025-05-03 · v Gillingham 0-1
  • W 2025-04-26 · at AFC Wimbledon 2-0
  • D 2025-04-21 · v Grimsby 2-2
Grimsby away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L4 / 4 / 2
  • Points per game1.6
  • Goals scored a game1.5
  • Goals conceded a game1.1
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L1 / 3 / 1
  • Points per game1.2
  • Goals scored a game1.4
  • Goals conceded a game1.4
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored60% (6 of 10)
  • Clean sheet40% (4 of 10)
  • Failed to score10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides60% (6 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-10-03 · v Shrewsbury 1-2
  • L 2026-09-26 · at Newport County 1-2
  • W 2026-09-19 · v Crawley Town 2-0
  • W 2026-09-12 · v Bristol Rovers 2-0
  • D 2026-09-05 · at Cheltenham 2-2
  • D 2026-09-01 · at Accrington ST 2-2
  • D 2026-08-29 · v Fleetwood Town 2-2
  • D 2026-08-22 · at Walsall 0-0
  • W 2026-08-15 · v Exeter City 1-0
  • W 2026-05-15 · at Salford City 2-1

Head to head

50% 50%
0 Port Vale 0% 1 drawn 50% 1 Grimsby 50%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Port Vale's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Port Vale
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
George Byers M 4 2 0 2
Oliver Lynch M 7 1 0 0
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel M 7 0 1 2
Connor Hall D 7 0 0 0
Kyle Dempsey M 7 0 0 3
Onel Hernández M 7 0 0 0
Ben Garrity M 6 0 0 3
Ben Waine M 6 0 0 0
George Hall M 6 0 0 1
Jackson Smith G 6 0 0 0
Jaheim Headley M 6 0 0 0
Lewis Montsma D 6 0 0 1
Cameron Humphreys D 5 0 0 1
Liam Gordon D 5 0 0 1
Rhys Walters M 5 0 0 0
Tyreece Simpson F 4 0 0 0
Kyle John D 3 0 0 0
Matthew Craig M 2 0 0 0
Mo Faal F 2 0 0 0
J. Moon D 1 0 0 1
Keyrol Figueroa F 1 0 0 0
M. Maroši G 1 0 0 0
M. Watters F 1 0 0 0
Maleace Asamoah F 1 0 0 0
Ryan Croasdale M 1 0 0 0
Grimsby
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Kieran Green M 9 3 2 3
Andy Cook F 8 2 0 1
Iwan Morgan M 9 1 2 0
Harvey Rodgers D 9 1 1 1
Géza Dávid Turi M 7 1 1 1
Cian Doyle M 8 1 0 1
F. Cartwright M 5 1 0 0
M. Shelton M 4 1 0 0
Charles Vernam M 9 0 2 1
Jayden Sweeney D 9 0 1 1
Cameron McJannett D 9 0 0 2
Maldini Kacurri D 8 0 0 2
Ryley Reynolds M 8 0 0 0
Christy Pym G 7 0 0 0
Sonny Finch M 7 0 0 0
Jamie Walker M 6 0 0 0
Justin Amaluzor M 5 0 0 0
Cian Doyle M 2 0 0 0
D. Harrington G 2 0 0 0
E. Pruti D 2 0 0 0
J. Foulkes D 1 0 0 0
Josh Andrews F 1 0 0 0
R. Staunton D 1 0 0 0
Sebastian Auton G 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.