J's Footy Alerts

Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans

Ligue 1 · France · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

No projection for this one. One of these sides has played fewer than 8 games in this division, so its form was earned against a different standard of opposition and the model would read it wrong.

11.9Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Paris Saint Germain and 5 for Le Mans. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 6.5
2.6
Shots 18.9
10.2
Shots on target 6.3
4.8
Fouls 6.1
14.4
Yellow cards 1.22
2.0
Offsides 2.3
1.6
Possession % 66.1
46.4
Expected goals 1.8
1.67
Paris Saint Germain Le Mans

Recent form

Paris Saint Germain at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L5 / 3 / 2
  • Points per game1.8
  • Goals scored a game1.7
  • Goals conceded a game1.1
Last 3 at home
  • Played3
  • W / D / L1 / 1 / 1
  • Points per game1.33
  • Goals scored a game1.33
  • Goals conceded a game1.33
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored60% (6 of 10)
  • Clean sheet40% (4 of 10)
  • Failed to score0% (0 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards11% (1 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards0% (0 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides60% (6 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-20 · at Marseille 2-1
  • W 2026-09-13 · at Stade Brestois 29 1-0
  • L 2026-09-04 · v Monaco 1-2
  • D 2026-08-28 · at Lille 2-2
  • D 2026-08-23 · at Rennes 2-2
  • L 2026-05-17 · at Paris FC 1-2
  • W 2026-05-13 · at Lens 2-0
  • W 2026-05-10 · v Stade Brestois 29 1-0
  • D 2026-05-02 · v Lorient 2-2
  • W 2026-04-25 · at Angers 3-0
Le Mans away
Last 5 in this league
  • Played5
  • W / D / L1 / 3 / 1
  • Points per game1.2
  • Goals scored a game1.8
  • Goals conceded a game1.8
Last 2 away
  • Played2
  • W / D / L0 / 1 / 1
  • Points per game0.5
  • Goals scored a game1.5
  • Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 5
  • Both teams scored100% (5 of 5)
  • Clean sheet0% (0 of 5)
  • Failed to score0% (0 of 5)
  • Over 1.5 match goals100% (5 of 5)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (4 of 5)
  • Over 3.5 match goals60% (3 of 5)
  • Over 8.5 match corners60% (3 of 5)
  • Over 9.5 match corners60% (3 of 5)
  • Over 3.5 match cards80% (4 of 5)
  • Over 4.5 match cards60% (3 of 5)
  • Over 24.5 match shots60% (3 of 5)
  • Over 26.5 match shots60% (3 of 5)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target80% (4 of 5)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target80% (4 of 5)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides80% (4 of 5)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (2 of 5)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-19 · v Lorient 2-1
  • D 2026-09-13 · v Lens 2-2
  • D 2026-09-05 · at Nice 1-1
  • L 2026-08-30 · at Rennes 2-3
  • D 2026-08-22 · v Stade Brestois 29 2-2

Head to head

These two have not met in any competition we hold data for.

Squads this season

Paris Saint Germain
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Ferran Torres F 5 4 0 0
Marquinhos D 5 3 0 1
Vitinha M 5 1 1 1
Fabián Ruiz M 5 0 2 1
Désiré Doué F 5 0 1 0
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F 5 0 1 0
Mika Godts F 5 0 1 0
Ousmane Dembélé F 4 0 1 0
Maghnes Akliouche M 5 0 0 0
Matvey Safonov G 5 0 0 0
Warren Zaïre-Emery M 5 0 0 0
Willian Pacho D 5 0 0 0
Achraf Hakimi D 4 0 0 1
João Neves M 4 0 0 0
Lucas Beraldo M 3 0 0 0
Pedro Fernández M 3 0 0 1
Lucas Hernández D 2 0 0 1
Nuno Mendes D 2 0 0 1
Lucas Digne D 1 0 0 0
Senny Mayulu M 1 0 0 0
Le Mans
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Adil Bourabaa M 5 3 2 1
Louis Mafouta F 5 3 1 0
Lucas Calodat M 5 1 1 0
Dame Gueye F 5 1 0 0
Habibou Diallo F 3 1 0 1
Jean Vercruysse M 4 0 1 1
Lucas Bretelle M 4 0 1 0
Rayan Bamba M 4 0 1 0
Alexandre Lauray M 5 0 0 3
Antoine Rabillard M 4 0 0 0
Harold Voyer D 4 0 0 1
Noa Boissé D 4 0 0 2
Billal Brahimi F 3 0 0 0
Ewan Hatfout G 3 0 0 0
Nicolas Kocik G 3 0 0 0
Samuel Yohou D 3 0 0 0
Yasser Larouci M 3 0 0 0
D. Sidibé D 2 0 0 1
Lucas Buades M 2 0 0 0
Raúl Torrente D 2 0 0 0
Théo Eyoum D 2 0 0 0
D. Traoré M 1 0 0 0
Erwan Colas F 1 0 0 0
Milan Robin M 1 0 0 0
William Harhouz F 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.