Ligue 1 · France
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
46%Monaco
24%Draw
30%Toulouse
63%Over 2.5
37%Under 2.5
90%Away fouls over 8.5this league 73%
80%Home corners under 7.5this league 78%
3.26Goals projected
8.2Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Monaco and
10 for Toulouse. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners5.1
4.2
Shots11.7
13.6
Shots on target4.8
4.3
Fouls12.3
16.4
Yellow cards1.8
2.3
Offsides2.44
1.33
Possession %52.5
45.8
Expected goals1.17
1.62
Monaco Toulouse
Recent form
Monacoat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L5 / 3 / 2
Points per game1.8
Goals scored a game1.8
Goals conceded a game1.4
Last 4 at home
Played4
W / D / L2 / 1 / 1
Points per game1.75
Goals scored a game1.5
Goals conceded a game1.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored70%(7 of 10)
Clean sheet20%(2 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners70%(7 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides78%(7 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides33%(3 of 9)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-19 · v Lens
2-1
D
2026-09-12 · at Strasbourg
1-1
W
2026-09-04 · at Paris Saint Germain
2-1
W
2026-08-30 · v Marseille
2-0
W
2026-08-23 · at Le Havre
1-0
L
2026-05-17 · at Strasbourg
4-5
L
2026-05-10 · v Lille
0-1
W
2026-05-02 · at Metz
2-1
D
2026-04-25 · at Toulouse
2-2
D
2026-04-19 · v Auxerre
2-2
Toulouseaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game1.5
Goals conceded a game2.0
Last 4 away
Played4
W / D / L1 / 2 / 1
Points per game1.25
Goals scored a game2.0
Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored70%(7 of 10)
Clean sheet0%(0 of 10)
Failed to score30%(3 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots80%(8 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides33%(3 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides22%(2 of 9)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-19 · v Le Havre
3-2
D
2026-09-12 · at Lorient
2-2
L
2026-09-03 · v Lille
0-1
D
2026-08-29 · at Stade Brestois 29
2-2
L
2026-08-22 · v Lyon
0-2
W
2026-05-10 · v Lyon
2-1
W
2026-05-03 · at Strasbourg
2-1
D
2026-04-25 · v Monaco
2-2
L
2026-04-17 · at Lens
2-3
L
2026-04-12 · v Lille
0-4
Head to head
50%50%
2 Monaco 50%2 drawn 50%0 Toulouse 0%
Last 4 meetings, goals a game2.25
D2026-04-25 · Ligue 1 ·
Toulouse v Monaco2-2
W2025-10-25 · Ligue 1 ·
Monaco v Toulouse1-0
D2025-03-07 · Ligue 1 ·
Toulouse v Monaco1-1
W2024-12-07 · Ligue 1 ·
Monaco v Toulouse2-0
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Monaco's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Monaco
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Paris Josua Brunner
F
5
4
0
0
Eric Dier
D
5
1
1
0
Nazinho
D
5
1
1
1
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo
M
4
1
0
0
Aleksandr Golovin
M
5
0
2
2
Lamine Camara
M
5
0
1
2
Matthis Abline
F
4
0
1
0
Jordan Teze
D
1
0
1
1
Denis Zakaria
M
5
0
0
1
Lukáš Hrádecký
G
5
0
0
1
Sadibou Sané
D
5
0
0
0
Vanderson
D
5
0
0
1
Anis Soubeir
M
4
0
0
0
Mamadou Coulibaly
M
3
0
0
0
Mathys Detourbet
F
3
0
0
0
Mika Biereth
F
2
0
0
0
Christian Mawissa
D
1
0
0
0
E. Diop
M
1
0
0
0
F. Balogun
F
1
0
0
0
Ilane Touré
M
1
0
0
0
Ilane Touré
M
1
0
0
0
M. Salisu
D
1
0
0
0
Oumar Konate
F
1
0
0
0
Pape Cabral
M
1
0
0
0
Safouane Benzahra
M
1
0
0
0
Thilo Kehrer
D
1
0
0
0
Toulouse
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Casper Tengstedt
F
3
3
0
0
Thomas Jørgensen
M
5
2
1
0
Christ Tapé
D
5
1
0
1
Jacen Russell Rowe
F
5
1
0
0
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
M
5
0
4
1
Yann Gboho
M
2
0
1
0
Mark McKenzie
D
5
0
0
0
Rafik Messali
M
5
0
0
0
Santiago Hidalgo
M
5
0
0
1
Alexis Vossah
M
4
0
0
0
Guillaume Restes
G
4
0
0
0
Ismail Diallo
D
4
0
0
0
Niklas Schmidt
M
4
0
0
2
Sion Oppong
F
4
0
0
0
Y. Azizi
M
4
0
0
0
Julian Vignolo
M
3
0
0
0
Rasmus Nicolaisen
D
3
0
0
1
Seny Koumbassa
D
3
0
0
1
Mathys Niflore
G
2
0
0
0
N. Sigur
M
2
0
0
1
Mathis Saka
M
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.