J's Footy Alerts

Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo

Major League Soccer · USA · Sunday 11 October 2026, 01:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

38%Minnesota United FC
28%Draw
34%Houston Dynamo
48%Over 2.5
52%Under 2.5
78%Home corners over 3.5 this league 78%
2.6Goals projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Minnesota United FC and 10 for Houston Dynamo. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 5.7
4.3
Shots 13.6
12.8
Shots on target 5.0
3.9
Fouls 12.6
9.4
Yellow cards 1.7
1.89
Offsides 1.7
1.3
Possession % 43.7
51.6
Expected goals 2.13
1.04
Minnesota United FC Houston Dynamo

Recent form

Minnesota United FC at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L1 / 3 / 6
  • Points per game0.6
  • Goals scored a game2.1
  • Goals conceded a game2.5
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L0 / 2 / 3
  • Points per game0.4
  • Goals scored a game1.6
  • Goals conceded a game2.2
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored100% (10 of 10)
  • Clean sheet0% (0 of 10)
  • Failed to score0% (0 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides20% (2 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-27 · at Seattle Sounders 1-3
  • L 2026-09-20 · v Los Angeles Galaxy 2-3
  • L 2026-09-13 · at St. Louis City 2-4
  • L 2026-09-10 · v FC Dallas 1-2
  • L 2026-09-06 · at Portland Timbers 4-5
  • D 2026-08-30 · v Orlando City SC 3-3
  • W 2026-08-23 · at San Jose Earthquakes 5-1
  • L 2026-08-20 · v Atlanta United FC 1-2
  • D 2026-08-16 · at Real Salt Lake 1-1
  • D 2026-08-02 · v San Diego 1-1
Houston Dynamo away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L4 / 3 / 3
  • Points per game1.5
  • Goals scored a game0.9
  • Goals conceded a game0.8
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 1 / 2
  • Points per game1.4
  • Goals scored a game0.8
  • Goals conceded a game0.6
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored30% (3 of 10)
  • Clean sheet50% (5 of 10)
  • Failed to score40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards67% (6 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards56% (5 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides20% (2 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-27 · v Sporting Kansas City 0-2
  • D 2026-09-20 · v FC Cincinnati 2-2
  • L 2026-09-13 · at San Jose Earthquakes 0-1
  • W 2026-09-10 · v Real Salt Lake 2-1
  • D 2026-09-05 · at Charlotte 0-0
  • D 2026-08-30 · v San Jose Earthquakes 0-0
  • L 2026-08-23 · at St. Louis City 1-2
  • W 2026-08-20 · at Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0
  • W 2026-08-16 · v Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0
  • W 2026-08-08 · at New England Revolution 2-0

Head to head

25% 25% 50%
1 Minnesota United FC 25% 1 drawn 25% 2 Houston Dynamo 50%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Minnesota United FC's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Minnesota United FC
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Kelvin Yeboah F 26 14 2 2
Anthony Markanich M 27 8 2 3
Marcus Caldeira F 9 5 1 0
Tomás Chancalay M 27 4 3 3
Joaquín Pereyra M 26 3 10 4
Mauricio González F 15 2 0 0
Kyle Duncan M 23 1 2 3
Nectarios Triantis M 21 1 1 2
Devin Padelford M 16 1 1 0
Morris Duggan D 26 1 0 5
Wil Trapp M 26 0 2 2
James Rodríguez M 6 0 2 0
Owen Gene M 26 0 1 4
Jefferson Díaz D 25 0 1 9
Bongokuhle Hlongwane M 16 0 1 1
Carlos Harvey M 12 0 1 1
Drake Callender G 27 0 0 1
Mamadou Dieng F 18 0 0 1
Michael Boxall D 18 0 0 5
Nicolás Romero D 11 0 0 2
Maurice Malone F 5 0 0 0
D.J. Taylor D 4 0 0 1
Julian Gressel M 4 0 0 1
Aziel Jackson M 3 0 0 0
Alec Smir G 1 0 0 0
Dominik Fitz M 1 0 0 0
Houston Dynamo
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Guilherme M 26 14 6 3
Mateusz Bogusz M 26 6 1 3
Lawrence Ennali M 27 3 3 4
Jack McGlynn M 18 2 5 2
Héctor Herrera M 26 2 0 2
Ibrahim Aliyu M 20 2 0 2
Agustín Bouzat M 23 1 1 3
Agustin Resch D 23 1 0 6
Felipe Andrade D 21 1 0 8
Franco Negri D 15 1 0 1
Erik Sviatchenko D 10 1 0 4
Artur M 20 0 1 3
Ezequiel Ponce F 17 0 1 2
Ondrej Lingr M 17 0 1 0
Jonathan Bond G 27 0 0 0
Diadié Samassékou M 22 0 0 0
Antônio Carlos D 17 0 0 1
Duane Holmes M 15 0 0 2
Lucas Halter D 15 0 0 4
Duncan McGuire F 13 0 0 0
Nick Markanich F 8 0 0 0
Matthew Arana M 6 0 0 0
Marcelo Saracchi D 3 0 0 0
Sam Vines D 3 0 0 0
Jimmy Maurer G 1 0 0 1
L. Foster F 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.