Premier League · England
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 17:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
54%Manchester United
22%Draw
24%Tottenham
63%Over 2.5
37%Under 2.5
86%Home fouls under 14.5this league 88%
86%Home corners under 7.5this league 81%
3.24Goals projected
11.3Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Manchester United and
10 for Tottenham. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners6.3
7.3
Shots19.3
13.7
Shots on target5.6
3.4
Fouls9.8
13.7
Yellow cards1.6
2.3
Offsides1.4
2.22
Possession %52.6
58.0
Expected goals2.2
1.12
Manchester United Tottenham
Recent form
Manchester Unitedat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L5 / 3 / 2
Points per game1.8
Goals scored a game1.9
Goals conceded a game1.3
Last 5 at home
Played5
W / D / L4 / 0 / 1
Points per game2.4
Goals scored a game2.6
Goals conceded a game1.6
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet20%(2 of 10)
Failed to score30%(3 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards40%(4 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards20%(2 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides30%(3 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides20%(2 of 10)
Results, newest first
D
2026-09-20 · at Fulham
1-1
L
2026-09-13 · v Manchester City
0-1
D
2026-09-06 · at Everton
2-2
W
2026-08-30 · v Ipswich
5-2
L
2026-08-22 · at Hull City
0-2
W
2026-05-24 · at Brighton
3-0
W
2026-05-17 · v Nottingham Forest
3-2
D
2026-05-09 · at Sunderland
0-0
W
2026-05-03 · v Liverpool
3-2
W
2026-04-27 · v Brentford
2-1
Tottenhamaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game0.8
Goals conceded a game1.2
Last 5 away
Played5
W / D / L2 / 1 / 2
Points per game1.4
Goals scored a game0.8
Goals conceded a game1.2
How often, last 10
Both teams scored40%(4 of 10)
Clean sheet40%(4 of 10)
Failed to score40%(4 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals10%(1 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners90%(9 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners90%(9 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards40%(4 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target30%(3 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target20%(2 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides44%(4 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides33%(3 of 9)
Results, newest first
L
2026-09-19 · v Aston Villa
2-3
D
2026-09-12 · v Everton
0-0
D
2026-09-05 · at Nottingham Forest
0-0
L
2026-08-29 · v Newcastle
0-2
L
2026-08-22 · at Brentford
0-3
W
2026-05-24 · v Everton
1-0
L
2026-05-19 · at Chelsea
1-2
D
2026-05-11 · v Leeds
1-1
W
2026-05-03 · at Aston Villa
2-1
W
2026-04-25 · at Wolves
1-0
Head to head
17%17%67%
1 Manchester United 17%1 drawn 17%4 Tottenham 67%
Last 6 meetings, goals a game3.0
W2026-02-07 · Premier League ·
Manchester United v Tottenham2-0
D2025-11-08 · Premier League ·
Tottenham v Manchester United2-2
L2025-05-21 · UEFA Europa League ·
Tottenham v Manchester United1-0
L2025-02-16 · Premier League ·
Tottenham v Manchester United1-0
L2024-12-19 · League Cup ·
Tottenham v Manchester United4-3
L2024-09-29 · Premier League ·
Manchester United v Tottenham0-3
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Manchester United's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Manchester United
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Bruno Fernandes
M
5
3
1
0
Bryan Mbeumo
M
5
2
0
1
Matheus Cunha
F
5
1
1
0
Benjamin Šeško
F
4
1
0
0
Kobbie Mainoo
M
5
0
1
0
Patrick Dorgu
M
5
0
1
1
Luke Shaw
D
4
0
1
1
Diogo Dalot
D
5
0
0
1
Harry Maguire
D
5
0
0
2
Marcus Rashford
M
5
0
0
0
Senne Lammens
G
5
0
0
0
Youri Tielemans
M
5
0
0
0
Lisandro Martínez
D
4
0
0
0
Andrey Santos
M
3
0
0
0
Noussair Mazraoui
D
3
0
0
0
J. Zirkzee
F
2
0
0
0
Leny Yoro
D
2
0
0
0
Ayden Heaven
D
1
0
0
0
M. Mount
M
1
0
0
0
Shea Lacey
F
1
0
0
0
Tottenham
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
5
1
0
1
Conor Gallagher
M
3
1
0
1
Andy Robertson
D
5
0
1
0
Mohammed Kudus
M
4
0
1
0
Antonín Kinský
G
5
0
0
0
Dominic Solanke
F
5
0
0
0
Mateus Fernandes
M
5
0
0
1
Rodrigo Bentancur
M
5
0
0
0
Sandro Tonali
M
5
0
0
0
Archie Gray
M
4
0
0
0
Mathys Tel
M
4
0
0
0
Micky van de Ven
D
4
0
0
1
Omar Marmoush
M
4
0
0
0
Destiny Udogie
D
3
0
0
1
James Maddison
M
3
0
0
0
Lucas Bergvall
M
3
0
0
0
Pedro Porro
M
3
0
0
0
Sávio
M
3
0
0
0
Mikey Moore
M
2
0
0
0
Marcos Senesi
D
1
0
0
0
Mykhailo Mudryk
M
1
0
0
0
Richarlison
F
1
0
0
0
T. Adarabioyo
D
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.