Ligue 1 · France
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
41%Lorient
25%Draw
34%Paris FC
56%Over 2.5
44%Under 2.5
94%Home fouls under 14.5this league 72%
87%Home corners under 7.5this league 81%
2.93Goals projected
5.3Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Lorient and
10 for Paris FC. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners3.3
3.9
Shots10.8
13.3
Shots on target3.8
5.0
Fouls8.7
11.8
Yellow cards1.22
2.2
Offsides1.3
2.3
Possession %46.0
48.4
Expected goals1.49
1.75
Lorient Paris FC
Recent form
Lorientat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game1.5
Goals conceded a game1.3
Last 5 at home
Played5
W / D / L1 / 1 / 3
Points per game0.8
Goals scored a game1.4
Goals conceded a game1.8
How often, last 10
Both teams scored50%(5 of 10)
Clean sheet40%(4 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards33%(3 of 9)
Over 4.5 match cards22%(2 of 9)
Over 24.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots20%(2 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides0%(0 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides0%(0 of 10)
Results, newest first
L
2026-09-19 · at Le Mans
1-2
D
2026-09-12 · v Toulouse
2-2
W
2026-09-05 · at Lens
1-0
L
2026-08-29 · v Estac Troyes
1-2
D
2026-08-22 · at Nice
0-0
L
2026-05-17 · v Le Havre
0-2
W
2026-05-10 · at Metz
4-0
D
2026-05-02 · at Paris Saint Germain
2-2
L
2026-04-26 · v Strasbourg
2-3
W
2026-04-18 · v Marseille
2-0
Paris FCaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L6 / 2 / 2
Points per game2.0
Goals scored a game1.8
Goals conceded a game0.8
Last 4 away
Played4
W / D / L2 / 1 / 1
Points per game1.75
Goals scored a game1.75
Goals conceded a game1.25
How often, last 10
Both teams scored50%(5 of 10)
Clean sheet40%(4 of 10)
Failed to score30%(3 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards20%(2 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots40%(4 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides30%(3 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides20%(2 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-19 · v Strasbourg
2-1
D
2026-09-12 · v Lyon
0-0
W
2026-09-06 · at Marseille
3-2
W
2026-08-30 · v Nice
3-0
D
2026-08-22 · at Estac Troyes
0-0
W
2026-05-17 · v Paris Saint Germain
2-1
L
2026-05-10 · at Rennes
1-2
W
2026-05-03 · v Stade Brestois 29
4-0
L
2026-04-26 · v Lille
0-1
W
2026-04-19 · at Metz
3-1
Head to head
50%50%
0 Lorient 0%1 drawn 50%1 Paris FC 50%
Last 2 meetings, goals a game2.0
D2026-04-05 · Ligue 1 ·
Lorient v Paris FC1-1
L2025-10-03 · Ligue 1 ·
Paris FC v Lorient2-0
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Lorient's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Lorient
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Jean Victor Makengo
M
5
1
0
1
Mamadou Koné
F
5
1
0
0
Isak Steiner Jensen
F
4
1
0
0
Ibrahima Baldé
F
3
1
0
0
Noah Mbamba
M
3
1
0
0
Panos Katseris
M
5
0
3
1
K. Kouassi
M
5
0
1
1
Arthur Avom Ebong
M
5
0
0
1
Dembo Sylla
D
5
0
0
0
Gabin Bernardeau
M
5
0
0
0
Montassar Talbi
D
5
0
0
0
Nathaniel Adjei
D
5
0
0
1
Noah Cadiou
M
5
0
0
0
Théo Le Bris
M
5
0
0
0
Yvon Mvogo
G
5
0
0
0
Souleymane Faye
F
3
0
0
0
Aiyegun Tosin
F
2
0
0
0
Alec Georgen
D
1
0
0
0
Mamadou Kone
1
0
0
0
N. Obaretin
D
1
0
0
0
Paris FC
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Lassine Sinayoko
F
5
4
1
1
Ilan Kebbal
M
5
1
1
0
Pablo Pagis
M
5
1
1
0
Samir Chergui
D
3
1
0
0
Vincent Marchetti
M
2
1
0
0
Maxime López
M
5
0
1
1
Luca Koleosho
M
4
0
1
1
Patrick Zabi
M
4
0
1
0
Adama Camara
M
5
0
0
0
Diego Coppola
D
5
0
0
1
Kevin Trapp
G
5
0
0
0
Pierre Lees Melou
M
5
0
0
0
Rudy Matondo
M
5
0
0
1
Hamari Traoré
D
4
0
0
1
Moses Simon
M
4
0
0
0
Moustapha Mbow
D
3
0
0
0
J. Ikoné
F
2
0
0
0
Omar Sissoko
F
2
0
0
0
Otávio
D
2
0
0
1
T. De Smet
D
1
0
0
1
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.