Premier League · England
· Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
36%Liverpool
27%Draw
37%Manchester City
61%Over 2.5
39%Under 2.5
93%Away fouls under 14.5this league 84%
87%Away corners over 2.5this league 73%
3.13Goals projected
12.5Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Liverpool and
10 for Manchester City. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners5.5
7.4
Shots14.6
15.9
Shots on target4.8
5.3
Fouls12.1
9.1
Yellow cards2.0
1.4
Offsides2.1
1.22
Possession %57.4
63.0
Expected goals1.58
1.95
Liverpool Manchester City
Recent form
Liverpoolat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 5 / 2
Points per game1.4
Goals scored a game1.6
Goals conceded a game1.4
Last 5 at home
Played5
W / D / L1 / 4 / 0
Points per game1.4
Goals scored a game1.4
Goals conceded a game1.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored70%(7 of 10)
Clean sheet30%(3 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards80%(8 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards40%(4 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots40%(4 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides50%(5 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-20 · at Bournemouth
1-0
D
2026-09-12 · v Fulham
0-0
W
2026-09-04 · at Ipswich
2-0
D
2026-08-29 · v Nottingham Forest
2-2
D
2026-08-23 · at Newcastle
2-2
D
2026-05-24 · v Brentford
1-1
L
2026-05-15 · at Aston Villa
2-4
D
2026-05-09 · v Chelsea
1-1
L
2026-05-03 · at Manchester United
2-3
W
2026-04-25 · v Crystal Palace
3-1
Manchester Cityaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L7 / 2 / 1
Points per game2.3
Goals scored a game2.4
Goals conceded a game1.1
Last 4 away
Played4
W / D / L2 / 2 / 0
Points per game2.0
Goals scored a game2.25
Goals conceded a game1.25
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet40%(4 of 10)
Failed to score0%(0 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners90%(9 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides56%(5 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides22%(2 of 9)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-19 · v Sunderland
5-3
W
2026-09-13 · at Manchester United
1-0
W
2026-09-05 · v Coventry
1-0
W
2026-08-28 · at Crystal Palace
4-1
W
2026-08-23 · v Bournemouth
2-1
L
2026-05-24 · v Aston Villa
1-2
D
2026-05-19 · at Bournemouth
1-1
W
2026-05-13 · v Crystal Palace
3-0
W
2026-05-09 · v Brentford
3-0
D
2026-05-04 · at Everton
3-3
Head to head
40%60%
2 Liverpool 40%0 drawn 0%3 Manchester City 60%
Last 5 meetings, goals a game2.8
L2026-04-04 · FA Cup ·
Manchester City v Liverpool4-0
L2026-02-08 · Premier League ·
Liverpool v Manchester City1-2
L2025-11-09 · Premier League ·
Manchester City v Liverpool3-0
W2025-02-23 · Premier League ·
Manchester City v Liverpool0-2
W2024-12-01 · Premier League ·
Liverpool v Manchester City2-0
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Liverpool's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Liverpool
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Alexander Isak
F
5
4
0
1
Cody Gakpo
M
5
1
3
0
Dominik Szoboszlai
M
5
1
0
1
Víctor Muñoz
M
5
1
0
1
Florian Wirtz
M
5
0
1
1
Ryan Gravenberch
M
5
0
1
0
Alexis Mac Allister
M
5
0
0
1
Alisson Becker
G
5
0
0
1
Jérémy Jacquet
D
5
0
0
1
Miloš Kerkez
D
5
0
0
2
Ronald Araújo
D
5
0
0
1
Virgil van Dijk
D
5
0
0
1
Bradley Barcola
M
3
0
0
0
Jeremie Frimpong
D
3
0
0
1
Lewis Koumas
F
3
0
0
0
Rio Ngumoha
M
3
0
0
0
Trey Nyoni
M
3
0
0
0
Kostas Tsimikas
D
2
0
0
0
J. Jacquet
D
1
0
0
0
Manchester City
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Erling Haaland
F
5
5
0
0
Rayan Cherki
M
5
3
2
1
Antoine Semenyo
M
5
2
3
0
Joško Gvardiol
D
5
1
2
1
Marc Guéhi
M
5
1
1
0
Enzo Fernández
M
3
1
0
1
Phil Foden
M
4
0
2
1
Elliot Anderson
M
5
0
0
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
5
0
0
0
Rúben Dias
D
5
0
0
0
Nico O'Reilly
M
4
0
0
0
Abdukodir Khusanov
D
3
0
0
1
Iliman Ndiaye
M
3
0
0
0
Matheus Nunes
M
3
0
0
0
Ayyoub Bouaddi
M
2
0
0
0
Mateo Kovačić
M
2
0
0
0
Ryan McAidoo
F
2
0
0
0
J. Doku
F
1
0
0
0
Jack Grealish
M
1
0
0
0
Kaden Braithwaite
D
1
0
0
0
Rico Lewis
D
1
0
0
0
Vitor Reis
D
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.