J's Footy Alerts

Lillestrom v Molde

Eliteserien · Norway · Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

39%Lillestrom
23%Draw
38%Molde
58%Over 2.5
42%Under 2.5
81%Home corners under 7.5 this league 69%
3.01Goals projected
10.0Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Lillestrom and 10 for Molde. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 5.0
6.5
Shots 11.2
18.2
Shots on target 3.4
7.1
Fouls 12.3
11.9
Yellow cards 1.5
2.3
Offsides 1.9
2.2
Possession % 49.7
59.4
Expected goals 1.52
2.31
Lillestrom Molde

Recent form

Lillestrom at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L4 / 1 / 5
  • Points per game1.3
  • Goals scored a game1.1
  • Goals conceded a game1.8
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 0 / 3
  • Points per game1.2
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.8
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored50% (5 of 10)
  • Clean sheet20% (2 of 10)
  • Failed to score30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides20% (2 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-20 · at Viking 0-3
  • W 2026-09-12 · v Valerenga 2-0
  • W 2026-09-05 · at Brann 2-1
  • L 2026-08-30 · v Fredrikstad 1-4
  • D 2026-08-15 · at KFUM Oslo 1-1
  • L 2026-08-09 · v Rosenborg 0-2
  • L 2026-07-31 · at Bodo/Glimt 0-4
  • L 2026-07-22 · v Viking 1-2
  • W 2026-07-18 · v KFUM Oslo 2-1
  • W 2026-07-11 · at Fredrikstad 2-0
Molde away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L5 / 2 / 3
  • Points per game1.7
  • Goals scored a game2.6
  • Goals conceded a game1.9
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L3 / 1 / 1
  • Points per game2.0
  • Goals scored a game3.2
  • Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored90% (9 of 10)
  • Clean sheet10% (1 of 10)
  • Failed to score0% (0 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides30% (3 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-19 · v Aalesund 1-2
  • W 2026-09-13 · at Ham-Kam 5-1
  • W 2026-09-06 · v KFUM Oslo 2-0
  • W 2026-08-29 · at Valerenga 4-3
  • W 2026-08-16 · v Tromso 3-2
  • L 2026-08-09 · at Kristiansund BK 1-2
  • D 2026-08-02 · v Sarpsborg 08 FF 3-3
  • W 2026-07-26 · at KFUM Oslo 4-2
  • L 2026-07-18 · v Brann 1-2
  • D 2026-07-11 · at Aalesund 2-2

Head to head

33% 67%
1 Lillestrom 33% 0 drawn 0% 2 Molde 67%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Lillestrom's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Lillestrom
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Vá M 21 5 5 2
Thomas Lehne Olsen F 15 5 1 0
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim M 20 4 2 4
Markus Karlsbakk M 15 4 0 2
Lars Ranger D 19 2 1 2
Salieu Drammeh M 12 2 1 0
Fredrik Gulbrandsen F 8 2 1 2
Ruben Gabrielsen D 17 1 0 1
Camil Jebara M 11 1 0 1
Karl Linus Alperud M 11 1 0 0
Kparobo Arierhi F 11 1 0 0
Ylldren Ibrahimaj M 20 0 2 7
Frederik Elkær D 13 0 2 3
Yaw Paintsil M 15 0 1 1
Pontus Dahlberg G 21 0 0 2
Sturla Ottesen D 14 0 0 0
Harald Woxen M 11 0 0 4
Kparobo Arierhi F 11 0 0 0
Sander Moen Foss D 11 0 0 1
Eric Kitolano M 10 0 0 0
Ulrik Jenssen D 10 0 0 1
Kevin Martin Krygard M 8 0 0 1
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås D 7 0 0 0
Stian Kristiansen D 7 0 0 1
Gustav Nordh F 5 0 0 0
Daniel Bassi M 4 0 0 0
Molde
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Eirik Hestad M 16 8 2 7
Emil Breivik M 21 7 8 3
Trent Toure Kone Doherty M 17 6 1 0
Fredrik Gulbrandsen F 11 4 0 2
Sondre Milian Granaas M 18 3 4 4
Jalal Abdullai F 15 3 3 4
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter M 15 3 1 2
Daniel Daga M 9 2 0 0
K. Lonebu F 2 2 0 0
Samukelo Kabini D 17 1 1 4
Caleb Zady Sery M 15 1 1 0
Martin Linnes D 15 1 1 1
Vebjørn Hoff M 12 1 0 0
Seydina Mohamed Diop F 3 1 0 0
Sivert Sira Hansen D 18 0 2 2
Albert Posiadała G 17 0 1 2
Halldor Stenevik D 12 0 1 1
Viktor Bender M 10 0 1 1
Niklas Odegard M 5 0 1 2
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg G 4 0 1 0
Birk Risa D 19 0 0 1
Sivert Sira Hansen D 18 0 0 2
Mats Møller Dæhli M 12 0 0 1
Eirik Haugan D 11 0 0 0
Jacob Christensen M 10 0 0 0
Mathias Løvik D 7 0 0 3

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.