Ligue 1 · France
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
53%Lille
26%Draw
21%Le Havre
47%Over 2.5
53%Under 2.5
94%Away fouls over 8.5this league 72%
83%Home corners over 3.5this league 69%
2.54Goals projected
9.6Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Lille and
10 for Le Havre. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners4.2
4.6
Shots12.4
12.8
Shots on target5.3
4.6
Fouls10.0
15.2
Yellow cards2.0
2.2
Offsides1.9
2.5
Possession %53.8
46.8
Expected goals1.2
1.16
Lille Le Havre
Recent form
Lilleat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L5 / 3 / 2
Points per game1.8
Goals scored a game1.1
Goals conceded a game0.7
Last 5 at home
Played5
W / D / L1 / 3 / 1
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game1.0
Goals conceded a game1.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored30%(3 of 10)
Clean sheet60%(6 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals20%(2 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals10%(1 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards70%(7 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots40%(4 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots40%(4 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides90%(9 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides50%(5 of 10)
Results, newest first
L
2026-09-19 · at Nice
1-2
W
2026-09-13 · v Estac Troyes
2-0
W
2026-09-03 · at Toulouse
1-0
D
2026-08-28 · v Paris Saint Germain
2-2
W
2026-08-23 · at Angers
2-0
L
2026-05-17 · v Auxerre
0-2
W
2026-05-10 · at Monaco
1-0
D
2026-05-03 · v Le Havre
1-1
W
2026-04-26 · at Paris FC
1-0
D
2026-04-18 · v Nice
0-0
Le Havreaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L1 / 5 / 4
Points per game0.8
Goals scored a game1.2
Goals conceded a game1.4
Last 5 away
Played5
W / D / L1 / 3 / 1
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game1.4
Goals conceded a game1.2
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet20%(2 of 10)
Failed to score30%(3 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals20%(2 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners70%(7 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides70%(7 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides40%(4 of 10)
Results, newest first
L
2026-09-19 · at Toulouse
2-3
D
2026-09-12 · v Angers
0-0
L
2026-09-05 · v Stade Brestois 29
1-2
D
2026-08-29 · at Lyon
1-1
L
2026-08-23 · v Monaco
0-1
W
2026-05-17 · at Lorient
2-0
L
2026-05-10 · v Marseille
0-1
D
2026-05-03 · at Lille
1-1
D
2026-04-26 · v Metz
4-4
D
2026-04-18 · at Angers
1-1
Head to head
50%25%25%
2 Lille 50%1 drawn 25%1 Le Havre 25%
Last 4 meetings, goals a game2.25
D2026-05-03 · Ligue 1 ·
Lille v Le Havre1-1
W2025-11-30 · Ligue 1 ·
Le Havre v Lille0-1
L2025-02-08 · Ligue 1 ·
Lille v Le Havre1-2
W2024-09-28 · Ligue 1 ·
Le Havre v Lille0-3
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Lille's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Lille
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Tiago Santos
D
5
2
0
0
Ayase Ueda
F
3
2
0
0
Olivier Giroud
F
5
1
2
1
Dilane Bakwa
M
4
1
1
0
Ethan Mbappé
M
5
1
0
0
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
M
5
1
0
1
M. Kjærgaard
M
2
0
2
1
Nabil Bentaleb
M
5
0
1
0
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
5
0
0
0
Berke Özer
G
5
0
0
0
Nathan Ngoy
D
5
0
0
0
Ngal'ayel Mukau
M
5
0
0
0
Romain Perraud
D
5
0
0
2
Başar Önal
M
4
0
0
0
Benjamin André
M
4
0
0
1
Calvin Verdonk
D
3
0
0
0
Gaëtan Perrin
F
3
0
0
0
Osame Sahraoui
M
3
0
0
0
Félix Correia
M
2
0
0
0
Isaac Cossier
D
1
0
0
0
Le Havre
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
M. Samatta
M
5
2
0
0
Josh Maja
F
5
1
0
0
Rayan Fofana
M
3
1
0
0
Sota Nakamura
F
5
0
1
1
Fodé Doucouré
M
2
0
1
2
Amir Richardson
M
5
0
0
1
Ayumu Seko
D
5
0
0
1
Enzo Koffi
F
5
0
0
0
Simon Ebonog
M
5
0
0
0
Ahmed Touba
D
4
0
0
1
Djibril Ouziad
M
4
0
0
0
Elias Jelert
M
4
0
0
0
Junior Mwanga
M
4
0
0
0
Rassoul Ndiaye
M
4
0
0
0
Gauthier Gallon
G
3
0
0
0
Kaito Mizuta
M
3
0
0
0
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
G
3
0
0
1
Timothee Pembele
M
3
0
0
0
Vincent Sasso
D
3
0
0
1
Hakim Dongopandji
2
0
0
0
I. Bouneb
M
2
0
0
0
D. Mosengo
M
1
0
0
0
Djibril Ouziad
M
1
0
0
0
Yanis Zouaoui
M
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.