Ligue 1 · France
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
55%Lens
24%Draw
21%Lyon
64%Over 2.5
36%Under 2.5
94%Home fouls over 8.5this league 83%
84%Home corners over 3.5this league 71%
3.29Goals projected
10.4Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Lens and
10 for Lyon. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners7.1
7.1
Shots16.8
13.5
Shots on target6.2
5.2
Fouls11.3
10.7
Yellow cards2.3
1.4
Offsides2.33
1.5
Possession %51.8
50.6
Expected goals2.26
1.83
Lens Lyon
Recent form
Lensat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game1.8
Goals conceded a game1.5
Last 4 at home
Played4
W / D / L2 / 0 / 2
Points per game1.5
Goals scored a game1.5
Goals conceded a game1.25
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet20%(2 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners80%(8 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots80%(8 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target90%(9 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides78%(7 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides11%(1 of 9)
Results, newest first
L
2026-09-19 · at Monaco
1-2
D
2026-09-13 · at Le Mans
2-2
L
2026-09-05 · v Lorient
0-1
L
2026-08-29 · at Strasbourg
1-2
W
2026-08-22 · v Auxerre
5-2
W
2026-05-17 · at Lyon
4-0
L
2026-05-13 · v Paris Saint Germain
0-2
W
2026-05-08 · v Nantes
1-0
D
2026-05-02 · at Nice
1-1
D
2026-04-24 · at Stade Brestois 29
3-3
Lyonaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L6 / 2 / 2
Points per game2.0
Goals scored a game2.0
Goals conceded a game1.3
Last 4 away
Played4
W / D / L2 / 1 / 1
Points per game1.75
Goals scored a game1.25
Goals conceded a game0.75
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet30%(3 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners90%(9 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards40%(4 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides25%(2 of 8)
Over 4.5 match offsides25%(2 of 8)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-19 · v Rennes
4-0
D
2026-09-12 · at Paris FC
0-0
W
2026-09-04 · v Auxerre
3-1
D
2026-08-29 · v Le Havre
1-1
W
2026-08-22 · at Toulouse
2-0
L
2026-05-17 · v Lens
0-4
L
2026-05-10 · at Toulouse
1-2
W
2026-05-03 · v Rennes
4-2
W
2026-04-25 · v Auxerre
3-2
W
2026-04-19 · at Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Head to head
50%25%25%
2 Lens 50%1 drawn 25%1 Lyon 25%
Last 4 meetings, goals a game2.0
W2026-05-17 · Ligue 1 ·
Lyon v Lens0-4
L2025-08-16 · Ligue 1 ·
Lens v Lyon0-1
W2025-05-04 · Ligue 1 ·
Lyon v Lens1-2
D2024-09-15 · Ligue 1 ·
Lens v Lyon0-0
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Lens's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Lens
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Florian Thauvin
M
5
3
2
2
Franjo Ivanović
F
3
2
0
1
Abdallah Sima
M
5
1
1
0
Matthieu Udol
M
5
1
0
0
Ismaelo Ganiou
D
3
1
0
0
Saud Abdulhamid
M
1
1
0
0
Michał Skóraś
M
5
0
1
1
Ruben Aguilar
M
4
0
1
1
Andrija Bulatović
M
5
0
0
1
Michaël Cuisance
M
5
0
0
1
Robin Risser
G
5
0
0
0
Thorgan Hazard
M
5
0
0
0
Amadou Haidara
M
4
0
0
0
Odsonne Édouard
F
4
0
0
0
Kyllian Antonio
D
3
0
0
0
Mezian Mesloub
M
3
0
0
0
Souleymane Sagnan
D
3
0
0
2
Yassine Titraoui
M
3
0
0
1
Florian Sotoca
F
2
0
0
0
J. Gradit
D
2
0
0
0
J. Todibo
D
2
0
0
0
Maik Nawrocki
D
2
0
0
1
J. Kadile
M
1
0
0
0
Lyon
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Ernest Nuamah
M
4
3
1
0
Zachary Athekame
D
5
2
2
1
Corentin Tolisso
M
5
1
2
0
Loïs Openda
F
4
1
1
1
Felix Bacher
D
5
1
0
1
Noah Nartey
M
4
1
0
2
Malick Fofana
F
2
1
0
0
Pavel Šulc
M
5
0
3
1
Kaïl Boudache
M
5
0
0
0
Mads Bidstrup
M
5
0
0
0
Tyler Morton
M
5
0
0
1
Abner Vinícius
D
4
0
0
0
Dominik Greif
G
4
0
0
0
Moussa Niakhaté
D
4
0
0
1
Tanner Tessmann
M
4
0
0
1
Keito Nakamura
F
2
0
0
0
Khalis Merah
M
2
0
0
0
Clinton Mata
D
1
0
0
0
Julien Duranville
F
1
0
0
0
Mathys de Carvalho
M
1
0
0
0
Mohamed Ouédraogo
D
1
0
0
0
Nicolás Tagliafico
D
1
0
0
0
Ruben Kluivert
D
1
0
0
0
Rémi Himbert
F
1
0
0
0
Rémy Descamps
G
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.