J's Footy Alerts

Inter Miami v DC United

Major League Soccer · USA · Sunday 11 October 2026, 00:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

54%Inter Miami
20%Draw
26%DC United
76%Over 2.5
24%Under 2.5
82%Home corners over 3.5 this league 75%
3.96Goals projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Inter Miami and 10 for DC United. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 4.0
5.8
Shots 13.44
15.2
Shots on target 4.56
5.2
Fouls 13.44
11.7
Yellow cards 3.0
2.0
Offsides 2.12
1.22
Possession % 56.22
37.5
Inter Miami DC United

Recent form

Inter Miami at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L2 / 5 / 3
  • Points per game1.1
  • Goals scored a game2.0
  • Goals conceded a game1.8
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L1 / 3 / 1
  • Points per game1.2
  • Goals scored a game2.8
  • Goals conceded a game1.8
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored90% (9 of 10)
  • Clean sheet10% (1 of 10)
  • Failed to score0% (0 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners56% (5 of 9)
  • Over 9.5 match corners56% (5 of 9)
  • Over 3.5 match cards67% (6 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards56% (5 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots67% (6 of 9)
  • Over 26.5 match shots56% (5 of 9)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target78% (7 of 9)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target56% (5 of 9)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides62% (5 of 8)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides25% (2 of 8)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-27 · at Columbus Crew 1-2
  • D 2026-09-12 · v Nashville SC 2-2
  • D 2026-09-10 · at Chicago Fire 1-1
  • D 2026-09-05 · v Atlanta United FC 2-2
  • W 2026-08-29 · v CF Montreal 7-1
  • L 2026-08-22 · v Toronto FC 1-2
  • D 2026-08-19 · at Philadelphia Union 2-2
  • L 2026-08-16 · at Nashville SC 1-4
  • D 2026-08-01 · v Columbus Crew 2-2
  • W 2026-07-25 · at CF Montreal 1-0
DC United away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L2 / 5 / 3
  • Points per game1.1
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.6
Last 3 away
  • Played3
  • W / D / L0 / 2 / 1
  • Points per game0.67
  • Goals scored a game1.67
  • Goals conceded a game2.33
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored70% (7 of 10)
  • Clean sheet20% (2 of 10)
  • Failed to score30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards56% (5 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards44% (4 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides22% (2 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides11% (1 of 9)
Results, newest first
  • D 2026-09-27 · at Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3
  • L 2026-09-19 · v Charlotte 1-2
  • D 2026-09-12 · v Atlanta United FC 0-0
  • W 2026-09-09 · v Columbus Crew 2-1
  • D 2026-08-29 · v Los Angeles FC 0-0
  • L 2026-08-22 · at Charlotte 1-3
  • L 2026-08-19 · v New England Revolution 0-3
  • D 2026-08-15 · at CF Montreal 1-1
  • D 2026-08-01 · v Nashville SC 2-2
  • W 2026-07-25 · v Toronto FC 2-1

Head to head

80% 20%
4 Inter Miami 80% 1 drawn 20% 0 DC United 0%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Inter Miami's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Inter Miami
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Lionel Messi M 22 20 11 3
Luis Suárez M 21 11 2 1
Germán Berterame F 22 7 4 4
Rodrigo de Paul M 20 4 7 4
Telasco Segovia M 23 3 8 9
Mateo Silvetti M 13 3 4 1
Casemiro M 9 3 0 3
Ian Fray D 20 1 2 6
Gonzalo Luján D 17 1 0 4
Micael D 17 1 0 5
Daniel Pinter M 12 1 0 2
Sergio Reguilón M 12 1 0 3
Alexander Shaw M 5 1 0 0
Preston Plambeck M 5 1 0 0
Noah Allen M 18 0 1 2
Facundo Mura M 21 0 0 0
Yannick Bright M 21 0 0 3
Dayne St. Clair G 20 0 0 4
Maximiliano Falcón D 16 0 0 5
David Ayala M 9 0 0 1
Tadeo Allende M 9 0 0 3
David Ruíz M 8 0 0 2
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D 5 0 0 0
Rocco Ríos Novo G 5 0 0 0
F. Caicedo D 3 0 0 2
Lovens Delinois F 2 0 0 0
DC United
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Tai Baribo F 20 14 0 2
Louis Munteanu F 20 5 2 2
Lucas Bartlett D 24 4 0 5
Kimito Nono M 7 2 2 1
Jackson Hopkins M 25 2 1 4
Kye Rowles D 20 2 0 4
Peglow M 22 1 3 5
Silvan Hefti D 22 1 2 5
Matti Peltola M 24 1 0 1
Jared Stroud M 17 1 0 4
Keisuke Kurokawa D 25 0 6 4
Nikola Markovic M 18 0 1 0
Hosei Kijima M 10 0 1 0
Nathan Ordaz M 10 0 1 0
Jacob Murrell F 8 0 1 1
Sean Johnson G 25 0 0 1
Brandon Servania M 24 0 0 2
Andre Dozzell M 10 0 0 3
Sean Nealis D 10 0 0 0
Aaron Herrera M 7 0 0 1
Caden Clark M 7 0 0 1
Gabriel Pirani M 7 0 0 1
Conner Antley D 5 0 0 0
Gavin Turner M 3 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.