Bundesliga · Germany
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
30%FSV Mainz 05
24%Draw
46%Bayer Leverkusen
59%Over 2.5
41%Under 2.5
94%Away fouls under 14.5this league 83%
78%Draw or away win at half timethis league 59%
3.06Goals projected
11.4Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for FSV Mainz 05 and
10 for Bayer Leverkusen. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
D2026-02-28 · Bundesliga ·
Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 051-1
L2025-10-18 · Bundesliga ·
FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen3-4
D2025-05-17 · Bundesliga ·
FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen2-2
L2025-01-14 · Bundesliga ·
Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 051-0
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from FSV Mainz 05's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
FSV Mainz 05
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Phillip Tietz
F
4
4
0
0
Sheraldo Becker
F
4
2
3
1
Phillipp Mwene
M
4
1
1
3
Danny da Costa
D
4
1
0
0
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
F
4
1
0
1
E. Martel
M
1
1
0
0
Kaishu Sano
M
4
0
2
0
Anthony Caci
M
4
0
1
1
Lee Jae-Sung
M
4
0
1
0
Otto Ruoppi
M
3
0
1
0
Fabio Gruber
D
4
0
0
0
Kacper Potulski
D
4
0
0
1
Nadiem Amiri
M
4
0
0
0
S. Posch
D
3
0
0
1
A. Schwolow
G
2
0
0
1
L. Maloney
M
2
0
0
0
R. Nakuzola
D
2
0
0
0
Robin Zentner
G
2
0
0
0
B. Hollerbach
F
1
0
0
0
Dominik Kohr
D
1
0
0
0
Silvan Widmer
D
1
0
0
0
Bayer Leverkusen
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Patrik Schick
F
4
4
1
0
Christian Kofane
F
4
2
0
0
Miguel Gutiérrez
D
4
1
3
1
Ibrahim Maza
M
4
1
1
2
Ezequiel Fernández
M
4
1
0
0
Facundo Medina
D
4
1
0
1
Edmond Tapsoba
D
4
0
1
1
Jarell Quansah
D
4
0
1
0
Malik Tillman
M
3
0
1
0
Afonso Moreira
M
4
0
0
1
Aleix García
M
4
0
0
0
Lucas Vázquez
D
4
0
0
0
Mark Flekken
G
4
0
0
0
Moussa Diaby
M
3
0
0
0
Loïc Badé
D
2
0
0
0
Robert Andrich
M
2
0
0
0
G. Doué
D
1
0
0
1
Jonas Hofmann
M
1
0
0
0
M. Terrier
F
1
0
0
0
Victor Okoh Boniface
F
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.