J's Footy Alerts

Fredrikstad v Tromso

Eliteserien · Norway · Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

39%Fredrikstad
25%Draw
37%Tromso
59%Over 2.5
41%Under 2.5
88%Home corners under 7.5 this league 68%
3.05Goals projected
9.5Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Fredrikstad and 10 for Tromso. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 4.1
4.9
Shots 10.5
13.9
Shots on target 3.4
6.3
Fouls 9.1
12.1
Yellow cards 1.78
1.44
Offsides 1.1
1.38
Possession % 47.4
53.7
Expected goals 1.26
1.48
Fredrikstad Tromso

Recent form

Fredrikstad at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L4 / 2 / 4
  • Points per game1.4
  • Goals scored a game1.0
  • Goals conceded a game1.2
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 1 / 2
  • Points per game1.4
  • Goals scored a game0.8
  • Goals conceded a game1.0
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored40% (4 of 10)
  • Clean sheet30% (3 of 10)
  • Failed to score30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards44% (4 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards11% (1 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • D 2026-09-20 · at Valerenga 1-1
  • D 2026-09-13 · v Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-1
  • L 2026-09-04 · v Bodo/Glimt 1-2
  • W 2026-08-30 · at Lillestrom 4-1
  • W 2026-08-16 · v Kristiansund BK 1-0
  • W 2026-08-08 · at Start 1-0
  • W 2026-08-01 · v Sandefjord 1-0
  • L 2026-07-27 · at Rosenborg 0-4
  • L 2026-07-17 · at Bodo/Glimt 0-1
  • L 2026-07-11 · v Lillestrom 0-2
Tromso away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L4 / 3 / 3
  • Points per game1.5
  • Goals scored a game2.3
  • Goals conceded a game1.6
Last 6 away
  • Played6
  • W / D / L2 / 1 / 3
  • Points per game1.17
  • Goals scored a game2.5
  • Goals conceded a game2.17
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored60% (6 of 10)
  • Clean sheet30% (3 of 10)
  • Failed to score30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards33% (3 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards22% (2 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides38% (3 of 8)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides12% (1 of 8)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-20 · v Ham-Kam 3-2
  • L 2026-09-12 · at Rosenborg 3-5
  • L 2026-09-06 · at Kristiansund BK 0-2
  • D 2026-08-30 · v Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-0
  • L 2026-08-16 · at Molde 2-3
  • W 2026-08-02 · at Aalesund 6-2
  • W 2026-07-18 · at Ham-Kam 4-1
  • W 2026-07-11 · v Valerenga 4-0
  • D 2026-05-29 · at KFUM Oslo 0-0
  • D 2026-05-25 · v Aalesund 1-1

Head to head

40% 60%
0 Fredrikstad 0% 2 drawn 40% 3 Tromso 60%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Fredrikstad's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Fredrikstad
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger M 16 3 1 2
Benjamin Faraas M 14 3 0 2
Daniel Eid M 20 2 2 3
Fredrik Holmé D 19 2 1 3
Max Nilsson M 15 2 1 3
Rocco Robert Shein M 11 2 1 1
Solomon Owusu D 11 2 0 1
Samuel Leach Holm M 17 1 2 1
Simen Rafn M 15 1 1 3
Johannes Núñez F 8 1 1 1
Gabriel Wesseh M 7 1 1 0
Ulrik Fredriksen D 19 1 0 1
Eirik Granaas M 8 1 0 3
B. Fiabema F 3 1 0 0
Henrik Langaas Skogvold M 21 0 2 0
Salim Laghzaoui M 19 0 1 0
Sondre Sørløkk M 15 0 1 0
Leonard Owusu M 13 0 1 1
Isak Helstad Amundsen D 7 0 1 0
Martin Borsheim G 21 0 0 3
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem M 15 0 0 3
Sondre Sørløkk M 11 0 0 0
Jonathan Norbye D 9 0 0 1
Gabriel Wesseh M 6 0 0 0
Jakub Jezierski M 5 0 0 0
Aleksander Andresen D 3 0 0 0
Tromso
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Heine Asen Larsen M 21 10 3 3
Jens Hjertø-Dahl M 14 7 2 1
Alexander Warneryd D 18 5 3 1
Troy Nyhammer M 17 4 3 1
Daniel Braut F 16 2 1 0
Ieltsin Camões F 4 2 0 0
Ruben Jenssen M 20 1 8 0
David Edvardsson M 20 1 3 4
Lars Olden Larsen M 20 1 1 2
Vetle Skjaervik D 16 1 1 0
Sander Innvær M 15 1 1 2
Isak Vadebu D 20 1 0 1
Morten Bjørlo M 3 1 0 0
Vegard Erlien F 3 1 0 1
Leo Cornic M 15 0 2 3
Jakob Haugaard G 21 0 1 0
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal D 15 0 1 2
Isak Dahlqvist M 5 0 1 0
Abubacarr Kinteh D 9 0 0 0
Jesper Andreas Grundt M 6 0 0 0
Mathias Tonnessen D 6 0 0 1
Leon Hien D 5 0 0 1
Jens Berland Husebø D 3 0 0 0
Jesper Andreas Grundt M 3 0 0 0
Mads Mikkelsen M 3 0 0 0
Sigurd Prestmo F 3 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.