J's Footy Alerts

FC Augsburg v Bayern München

Bundesliga · Germany · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

12%FC Augsburg
15%Draw
72%Bayern München
79%Over 2.5
21%Under 2.5
92%Home fouls under 14.5 this league 89%
91%Home corners under 7.5 this league 77%
88%Draw or away win this league 55%
4.17Goals projected
11.4Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for FC Augsburg and 10 for Bayern München. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 5.0
7.8
Shots 14.1
20.4
Shots on target 6.3
8.1
Fouls 8.2
8.2
Yellow cards 1.6
1.33
Offsides 1.4
2.8
Possession % 38.9
70.8
Expected goals 1.98
2.98
FC Augsburg Bayern München

Recent form

FC Augsburg at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L5 / 3 / 2
  • Points per game1.8
  • Goals scored a game2.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.6
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 3 / 0
  • Points per game1.8
  • Goals scored a game2.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.2
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored80% (8 of 10)
  • Clean sheet10% (1 of 10)
  • Failed to score10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-19 · at Werder Bremen 2-3
  • D 2026-09-12 · v Bayer Leverkusen 2-2
  • W 2026-09-06 · at Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1
  • W 2026-08-30 · v FC Schalke 04 3-0
  • L 2026-05-16 · at Union Berlin 0-4
  • W 2026-05-09 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1
  • W 2026-05-02 · at Werder Bremen 3-1
  • D 2026-04-25 · v Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1
  • W 2026-04-18 · at Bayer Leverkusen 2-1
  • D 2026-04-10 · v 1899 Hoffenheim 2-2
Bayern München away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L8 / 2 / 0
  • Points per game2.6
  • Goals scored a game3.6
  • Goals conceded a game1.1
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L4 / 1 / 0
  • Points per game2.6
  • Goals scored a game2.4
  • Goals conceded a game0.8
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored60% (6 of 10)
  • Clean sheet40% (4 of 10)
  • Failed to score10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards44% (4 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards11% (1 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-18 · v Union Berlin 7-0
  • W 2026-09-13 · at SV Elversberg 2-1
  • D 2026-09-05 · at FC Schalke 04 0-0
  • W 2026-08-28 · v VfB Stuttgart 5-1
  • W 2026-05-16 · v 1. FC Köln 5-1
  • W 2026-05-09 · at VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
  • D 2026-05-02 · v 1. FC Heidenheim 3-3
  • W 2026-04-25 · at FSV Mainz 05 4-3
  • W 2026-04-19 · v VfB Stuttgart 4-2
  • W 2026-04-11 · at FC St. Pauli 5-0

Head to head

25% 75%
1 FC Augsburg 25% 0 drawn 0% 3 Bayern München 75%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from FC Augsburg's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

FC Augsburg
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Michael Gregoritsch F 4 3 0 0
Robin Fellhauer M 4 2 0 0
Fabian Rieder M 4 1 3 1
Alexis Claude-Maurice M 3 1 1 0
Anton Kade F 1 1 1 0
Calvin Brackelmann D 4 1 0 0
Rodrigo Ribeiro F 4 1 0 0
Han-Noah Massengo M 4 0 1 1
Hennes Behrens M 4 0 1 1
Young-woo Seol D 4 0 1 0
Chrislain Matsima D 4 0 0 0
Finn Dahmen G 4 0 0 0
Marius Wolf M 4 0 0 0
Mert Kömür M 4 0 0 0
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks D 4 0 0 2
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw D 3 0 0 0
Yannik Keitel M 3 0 0 0
Arijon Ibrahimović M 2 0 0 0
Bayern München
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Michael Olise M 4 4 1 0
Harry Kane F 4 3 1 0
Ismael Saibari M 4 1 2 0
Aleksandar Pavlović M 4 1 1 1
Jamal Musiala M 3 1 1 0
Dayot Upamecano D 4 1 0 2
Luis Díaz M 4 1 0 0
Lennart Karl M 3 1 0 0
Alphonso Davies D 4 0 2 0
Joshua Kimmich M 4 0 2 0
Tom Bischof M 4 0 2 0
Nathaniel Brown M 4 0 0 0
Jonathan Tah D 3 0 0 0
Josip Stanišić D 3 0 0 0
Kim Min-jae D 3 0 0 1
Manuel Neuer G 3 0 0 0
Konrad Laimer D 2 0 0 0
J. Urbig G 1 0 0 0
S. Gnabry F 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.