Eredivisie · Netherlands
· Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:45 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
36%Excelsior
26%Draw
38%Groningen
51%Over 2.5
49%Under 2.5
89%Home corners under 7.5this league 74%
70%Draw or away win at half timethis league 64%
2.72Goals projected
10.3Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Excelsior and
10 for Groningen. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners4.5
4.1
Shots12.1
13.6
Shots on target4.8
5.1
Fouls11.9
9.6
Yellow cards1.5
1.3
Offsides0.67
2.25
Possession %44.4
48.2
Expected goals1.5
1.48
Excelsior Groningen
Recent form
Excelsiorat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L5 / 3 / 2
Points per game1.8
Goals scored a game2.2
Goals conceded a game1.4
Last 4 at home
Played4
W / D / L1 / 1 / 2
Points per game1.0
Goals scored a game1.25
Goals conceded a game1.5
How often, last 10
Both teams scored80%(8 of 10)
Clean sheet20%(2 of 10)
Failed to score0%(0 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals100%(10 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards38%(3 of 8)
Over 4.5 match cards0%(0 of 8)
Over 24.5 match shots80%(8 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides11%(1 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides0%(0 of 9)
Results, newest first
D
2026-09-19 · at Ajax
2-2
L
2026-09-13 · v Utrecht
1-2
W
2026-09-05 · at Willem II
3-0
W
2026-08-29 · v Sparta Rotterdam
2-1
D
2026-08-22 · at NEC Nijmegen
2-2
L
2026-08-15 · v PSV Eindhoven
1-2
W
2026-08-07 · at Cambuur
4-0
W
2026-05-17 · at Sparta Rotterdam
3-2
D
2026-05-10 · v FC Volendam
1-1
W
2026-05-02 · at Groningen
3-2
Groningenaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L5 / 2 / 3
Points per game1.7
Goals scored a game1.9
Goals conceded a game1.7
Last 5 away
Played5
W / D / L2 / 1 / 2
Points per game1.4
Goals scored a game1.6
Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored80%(8 of 10)
Clean sheet10%(1 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals100%(10 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners70%(7 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards20%(2 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards20%(2 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots80%(8 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides62%(5 of 8)
Over 4.5 match offsides38%(3 of 8)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-18 · v PEC Zwolle
3-0
D
2026-09-12 · at GO Ahead Eagles
1-1
D
2026-09-06 · v Twente
2-2
L
2026-08-28 · v Fortuna Sittard
2-3
L
2026-08-23 · at PSV Eindhoven
1-5
W
2026-08-16 · at ADO Den Haag
4-1
W
2026-08-09 · v Utrecht
2-1
L
2026-05-21 · at Ajax
0-2
W
2026-05-17 · at Heracles
2-1
W
2026-05-10 · v NEC Nijmegen
2-1
Head to head
50%50%
1 Excelsior 50%0 drawn 0%1 Groningen 50%
Last 2 meetings, goals a game3.5
W2026-05-02 · Eredivisie ·
Groningen v Excelsior2-3
L2025-12-05 · Eredivisie ·
Excelsior v Groningen0-2
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Excelsior's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Excelsior
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Aymen Sliti
M
7
3
1
0
David Garden
F
7
3
0
0
Irakli Yegoian
M
7
2
5
1
Noah Naujoks
M
1
2
0
0
Casper Widell
D
7
1
0
0
Lennard Hartjes
M
7
1
0
1
Rick Meissen
M
7
1
0
1
Nesto Groen
F
5
1
0
1
V. Sulzbacher
M
2
1
0
2
Simon Janssen
M
7
0
3
1
Stijn van Gassel
G
7
0
1
0
Ilano Silva Timas
F
6
0
1
0
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
M
5
0
1
1
Gyan de Regt
F
1
0
1
0
Jan Plug
D
7
0
0
2
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
F
5
0
0
0
Eric da Silva Moreira
M
5
0
0
0
Daniel van Vianen
M
4
0
0
0
Kasey Bos
F
4
0
0
0
Mario Domínguez
F
3
0
0
1
Giulliano Cairo
M
2
0
0
0
Nolan Martens
D
2
0
0
0
Osman Turay
D
2
0
0
0
Yaqub Finey
M
1
0
0
0
Groningen
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Thom van Bergen
M
7
4
2
0
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
F
7
4
0
0
David van der Werff
M
7
2
3
1
Tygo Land
M
7
2
1
0
Jorg Schreuders
D
7
1
1
0
Nils Eggens
F
4
1
0
0
Etienne Vaessen
G
7
0
1
1
Pelle Clement
M
7
0
1
0
Thijmen Blokzijl
D
7
0
1
0
Tika de Jonge
M
7
0
0
0
Jacob Ondrejka
M
6
0
0
1
Márk Csinger
D
6
0
0
2
Wouter Prins
D
6
0
0
0
Travis Hernes
M
5
0
0
1
Elvis Van der Laan
D
4
0
0
0
Marco Rente
D
4
0
0
0
Nikolas Brandis
D
3
0
0
0
Oskar Zawada
F
3
0
0
0
Alvin Nordin
M
2
0
0
0
H. Hateboer
D
1
0
0
0
J. Mosselaar
D
1
0
0
0
Ryan Metu
F
1
0
0
0
Tyrique Mercera
D
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.