J's Footy Alerts

Estac Troyes v Marseille

Ligue 1 · France · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

No projection for this one. One of these sides has played fewer than 8 games in this division, so its form was earned against a different standard of opposition and the model would read it wrong.

12.3Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 5 for Estac Troyes and 10 for Marseille. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 7.6
4.9
Shots 14.8
15.7
Shots on target 2.8
5.4
Fouls 12.0
11.6
Yellow cards 1.25
2.2
Offsides 2.4
1.22
Possession % 39.2
55.9
Expected goals 1.83
1.82
Estac Troyes Marseille

Recent form

Estac Troyes at home
Last 5 in this league
  • Played5
  • W / D / L1 / 1 / 3
  • Points per game0.8
  • Goals scored a game0.8
  • Goals conceded a game2.2
Last 2 at home
  • Played2
  • W / D / L0 / 1 / 1
  • Points per game0.5
  • Goals scored a game1.0
  • Goals conceded a game3.0
How often, last 5
  • Both teams scored40% (2 of 5)
  • Clean sheet20% (1 of 5)
  • Failed to score60% (3 of 5)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (4 of 5)
  • Over 2.5 match goals40% (2 of 5)
  • Over 3.5 match goals20% (1 of 5)
  • Over 8.5 match corners40% (2 of 5)
  • Over 9.5 match corners40% (2 of 5)
  • Over 3.5 match cards1 of 4
  • Over 4.5 match cards1 of 4
  • Over 24.5 match shots60% (3 of 5)
  • Over 26.5 match shots40% (2 of 5)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target40% (2 of 5)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target20% (1 of 5)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides60% (3 of 5)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (2 of 5)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-19 · at Angers 0-2
  • L 2026-09-13 · at Lille 0-2
  • L 2026-09-06 · v Strasbourg 2-6
  • W 2026-08-29 · at Lorient 2-1
  • D 2026-08-22 · v Paris FC 0-0
Marseille away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 1 / 6
  • Points per game1.0
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.5
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L1 / 0 / 4
  • Points per game0.6
  • Goals scored a game0.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.6
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored40% (4 of 10)
  • Clean sheet20% (2 of 10)
  • Failed to score40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides33% (3 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides11% (1 of 9)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-20 · v Paris Saint Germain 1-2
  • L 2026-09-11 · at Rennes 0-1
  • L 2026-09-06 · v Paris FC 2-3
  • L 2026-08-30 · at Monaco 0-2
  • W 2026-08-21 · v Strasbourg 4-0
  • W 2026-05-17 · v Rennes 3-1
  • W 2026-05-10 · at Le Havre 1-0
  • L 2026-05-02 · at Nantes 0-3
  • D 2026-04-26 · v Nice 1-1
  • L 2026-04-18 · at Lorient 0-2

Head to head

These two have not met in any competition we hold data for.

Squads this season

Estac Troyes
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Antoine Mille M 5 1 1 1
Renaud Ripart F 5 1 0 0
Lucas Maronnier D 4 1 0 0
Jérémy Le Douaron F 3 1 0 0
Anis Ouzenadji D 5 0 1 0
Kandet Diawara M 5 0 1 0
Adrien Monfray D 5 0 0 0
Hugo Picard M 5 0 0 0
Iron Gomis M 5 0 0 1
Michel Diaz D 5 0 0 2
Mouhamed Diop M 5 0 0 1
Patrick Beach G 5 0 0 0
Yacouba Kone F 5 0 0 0
Karim Dermane M 4 0 0 0
Noah Donkor D 4 0 0 0
Merwan Ifnaoui M 3 0 0 0
Timothé Nkada M 3 0 0 0
Alexandre Phliponeau M 2 0 0 0
Yacouba Koné 1 0 0 0
Yvann Titi D 1 0 0 0
Marseille
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Amine Gouiri F 5 4 1 0
Angel Gomes M 5 1 1 1
Keyliane Abdallah F 5 1 0 1
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 5 1 0 0
Amine Harit M 5 0 1 1
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D 5 0 0 0
Emerson D 5 0 0 0
Himad Abdelli M 5 0 0 1
Jeffrey De Lange G 5 0 0 0
Nayef Aguerd D 5 0 0 1
Timothy Weah D 5 0 0 1
Faris Moumbagna F 4 0 0 0
Igor Paixão M 4 0 0 1
Neal Maupay F 4 0 0 0
Derek Cornelius D 3 0 0 0
Geoffrey Kondogbia D 2 0 0 0
T. Mmadi F 2 0 0 0
Tochukwu Nnadi M 2 0 0 0
U. Garcia D 2 0 0 0
K. Bezahaf D 1 0 0 0
Quinten Timber M 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.