La Liga · Spain
· Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
31%Elche
27%Draw
42%Celta Vigo
51%Over 2.5
49%Under 2.5
93%Away fouls over 8.5this league 83%
88%Away corners under 5.5this league 72%
2.7Goals projected
8.3Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Elche and
10 for Celta Vigo. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners3.7
3.1
Shots10.0
9.8
Shots on target4.1
3.7
Fouls14.6
10.4
Yellow cards2.7
1.5
Offsides1.7
3.0
Possession %50.8
52.2
Expected goals0.7
0.87
Elche Celta Vigo
Recent form
Elcheat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L2 / 3 / 5
Points per game0.9
Goals scored a game1.4
Goals conceded a game2.0
Last 4 at home
Played4
W / D / L1 / 0 / 3
Points per game0.75
Goals scored a game1.25
Goals conceded a game2.75
How often, last 10
Both teams scored80%(8 of 10)
Clean sheet10%(1 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners30%(3 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners20%(2 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards80%(8 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots40%(4 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots40%(4 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides70%(7 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides60%(6 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-20 · at Espanyol
3-1
L
2026-09-16 · v Real Madrid
2-3
D
2026-09-13 · at Athletic Club
1-1
L
2026-09-07 · v Real Sociedad
2-3
L
2026-08-28 · at Racing Santander
2-3
L
2026-08-23 · v Barcelona
0-5
D
2026-08-17 · at Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
D
2026-05-23 · at Girona
1-1
W
2026-05-17 · v Getafe
1-0
L
2026-05-12 · at Real Betis
1-2
Celta Vigoaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L2 / 5 / 3
Points per game1.1
Goals scored a game1.2
Goals conceded a game1.0
Last 4 away
Played4
W / D / L0 / 4 / 0
Points per game1.0
Goals scored a game0.5
Goals conceded a game0.5
How often, last 10
Both teams scored50%(5 of 10)
Clean sheet40%(4 of 10)
Failed to score30%(3 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals20%(2 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners20%(2 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners20%(2 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards40%(4 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots20%(2 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides50%(5 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-20 · v Racing Santander
5-0
D
2026-09-13 · v Malaga
1-1
D
2026-09-07 · at Getafe
1-1
D
2026-09-03 · at Real Sociedad
0-0
L
2026-08-30 · v Athletic Club
0-2
L
2026-08-27 · v Osasuna
1-2
D
2026-08-22 · at Valencia
0-0
W
2026-05-23 · v Sevilla
1-0
D
2026-05-17 · at Athletic Club
1-1
L
2026-05-12 · v Levante
2-3
Head to head
50%50%
1 Elche 50%0 drawn 0%1 Celta Vigo 50%
Last 2 meetings, goals a game3.5
L2026-05-03 · La Liga ·
Celta Vigo v Elche3-1
W2025-09-28 · La Liga ·
Elche v Celta Vigo2-1
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Elche's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Elche
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Fernando Niño
F
7
5
0
2
Buba Sangaré
D
7
1
0
0
Germán Valera
M
7
1
0
1
A. Osorio
F
4
1
0
1
Facundo Buonanotte
M
4
1
0
1
Marc Aguado
M
4
1
0
1
T. Lemar
M
4
1
0
1
Tete Morente
M
7
0
3
1
Lucas Cepeda
F
7
0
2
2
R. Revivo
D
4
0
2
0
Gonzalo Villar
M
7
0
1
2
Víctor Chust
D
7
0
1
0
Josan
M
3
0
1
1
Matías Dituro
G
7
0
0
0
Federico Redondo
D
5
0
0
1
Javi Morcillo
M
5
0
0
0
Martim Neto
M
4
0
0
0
Pedro Bigas
D
4
0
0
0
Ali Houary
M
3
0
0
1
David Affengruber
D
3
0
0
0
Ezequiel Ponce
F
3
0
0
0
Rubén Sánchez
D
3
0
0
1
Alvaro Padilla
F
1
0
0
0
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
D
1
0
0
0
Umaru Konare Tounkara
F
1
0
0
1
Celta Vigo
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Pablo Durán
F
5
2
0
0
Miguel Román
M
7
1
2
0
Hugo González
F
4
1
2
0
Ferrán Jutglà
F
7
1
0
0
Ilaix Moriba
M
7
1
0
0
Iago Aspas
F
6
1
0
0
Carl Starfelt
D
3
1
0
1
Hugo Álvarez
M
5
0
2
0
Ionuț Radu
G
7
0
0
1
Javier Rueda
M
7
0
0
2
Sergio Carreira
M
7
0
0
1
Yoel Lago
D
7
0
0
3
Javi Galán
M
6
0
0
0
Williot Swedberg
M
6
0
0
0
Marcos Alonso
D
5
0
0
2
Javi Rodríguez
D
4
0
0
0
Couhaib Driouech
F
3
0
0
1
Jones El-Abdellaoui
M
3
0
0
0
Álvaro Núñez
M
3
0
0
0
Aleix Febas
M
2
0
0
0
Borja Iglesias
F
2
0
0
0
H. Burcio
M
2
0
0
0
S. Cáceres
D
2
0
0
0
Abdoulaye Faye
D
1
0
0
0
Andrés Antañón
F
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.