J's Footy Alerts

Doncaster v Burton Albion

League One · England · Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

36%Doncaster
27%Draw
37%Burton Albion
38%Over 2.5
62%Under 2.5
86%Home corners under 7.5 this league 75%
2.21Goals projected
8.6Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Doncaster and 10 for Burton Albion. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 4.2
2.7
Shots 13.2
9.4
Shots on target 4.5
3.6
Fouls 12.2
12.4
Yellow cards 2.2
1.78
Offsides 1.8
1.2
Possession % 51.4
45.6
Expected goals 1.86
1.32
Doncaster Burton Albion

Recent form

Doncaster at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L2 / 4 / 4
  • Points per game1.0
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.3
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L0 / 3 / 2
  • Points per game0.6
  • Goals scored a game0.8
  • Goals conceded a game1.4
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored60% (6 of 10)
  • Clean sheet20% (2 of 10)
  • Failed to score30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-19 · at Peterborough 2-0
  • L 2026-09-12 · at AFC Wimbledon 0-1
  • L 2026-09-05 · v Plymouth 2-3
  • D 2026-09-01 · v Notts County 1-1
  • D 2026-08-29 · at Stevenage 2-2
  • D 2026-08-22 · v Barnsley 0-0
  • L 2026-08-15 · at Mansfield Town 1-2
  • W 2026-05-02 · at Peterborough 3-1
  • D 2026-04-25 · v Stevenage 1-1
  • L 2026-04-21 · v Lincoln 0-2
Burton Albion away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 4 / 3
  • Points per game1.3
  • Goals scored a game1.6
  • Goals conceded a game1.7
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 1 / 2
  • Points per game1.4
  • Goals scored a game1.2
  • Goals conceded a game1.6
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored80% (8 of 10)
  • Clean sheet10% (1 of 10)
  • Failed to score10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards44% (4 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards33% (3 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides10% (1 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-10-03 · v Huddersfield 1-3
  • W 2026-09-26 · at Plymouth 1-0
  • D 2026-09-19 · v Mansfield Town 2-2
  • L 2026-09-12 · at Oxford United 0-3
  • D 2026-09-05 · v Cambridge United 2-2
  • W 2026-09-02 · v AFC Wimbledon 4-1
  • L 2026-08-29 · at Notts County 1-2
  • W 2026-08-22 · at Leicester 2-1
  • D 2026-08-15 · v Stevenage 1-1
  • D 2026-05-02 · at Leyton Orient 2-2

Head to head

50% 50%
1 Doncaster 50% 1 drawn 50% 0 Burton Albion 0%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Doncaster's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Doncaster
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Alfie May M 7 2 0 0
Isaac Hutchinson M 7 2 0 2
Jack Senior M 7 2 0 4
Owen Bailey M 7 1 0 1
Sean Grehan D 6 1 0 1
Robbie Gotts M 7 0 1 0
Leon Ayinde M 6 0 1 1
Jordan Thomas M 5 0 1 1
B. McCann D 3 0 1 0
Bayley McCann D 3 0 1 0
Brandon Hanlan M 7 0 0 0
Neill Byrne D 7 0 0 1
Tommy Simkin G 7 0 0 1
George Broadbent M 6 0 0 0
Jay McGrath D 5 0 0 1
Tommi O'Reilly M 4 0 0 0
Hakeeb Adelakun M 3 0 0 0
Harry Clifton M 3 0 0 1
James Husband D 3 0 0 0
Jamie Sterry M 2 0 0 0
Darren Robinson M 1 0 0 0
M. Pearson D 1 0 0 0
Burton Albion
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Jack Armer M 9 3 1 2
Finn Delap D 7 3 0 1
Charlie Webster M 9 1 0 0
Kgagelo Chauke M 9 1 0 0
Curtis Tilt D 8 1 0 3
George Evans M 6 1 0 1
Matthew Dennis F 5 1 0 1
Caylan Vickers F 2 1 0 0
Kyran Lofthouse M 7 0 3 1
Sulyman Krubally M 9 0 2 4
Corey Addai G 9 0 0 0
Will Collar M 9 0 0 1
Toby Sibbick D 7 0 0 0
Kain Adom 6 0 0 0
Raphael Rodrigues M 5 0 0 0
Zac Scutt F 5 0 0 0
Harvey Araujo D 4 0 0 0
Emeka Adeile D 3 0 0 0
Joe Lewis D 3 0 0 1
Kain Adom F 3 0 0 0
J. Sraha D 1 0 0 0
Tyrese Shade F 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.