Championship · England
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
37%Derby
26%Draw
37%Wrexham
46%Over 2.5
54%Under 2.5
83%Home corners over 3.5this league 71%
2.52Goals projected
12.6Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Derby and
10 for Wrexham. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners6.3
4.8
Shots12.6
12.0
Shots on target3.8
3.8
Fouls12.8
11.8
Yellow cards2.5
1.22
Offsides2.9
1.1
Possession %49.5
47.9
Expected goals1.18
1.32
Derby Wrexham
Recent form
Derbyat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L2 / 2 / 6
Points per game0.8
Goals scored a game1.1
Goals conceded a game1.8
Last 5 at home
Played5
W / D / L0 / 1 / 4
Points per game0.2
Goals scored a game0.8
Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet10%(1 of 10)
Failed to score30%(3 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals20%(2 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners100%(10 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners90%(9 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards40%(4 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides50%(5 of 10)
Results, newest first
D
2026-09-19 · at Burnley
1-1
L
2026-09-12 · v Birmingham
1-2
L
2026-09-09 · v West Brom
0-1
L
2026-09-05 · at West Ham
0-3
W
2026-09-01 · at Portsmouth
2-0
L
2026-08-29 · v Swansea
0-3
D
2026-08-22 · v Cardiff
2-2
L
2026-08-15 · at Charlton
1-2
L
2026-05-02 · v Sheffield Utd
1-2
W
2026-04-25 · at QPR
3-2
Wrexhamaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L2 / 5 / 3
Points per game1.1
Goals scored a game1.2
Goals conceded a game1.7
Last 5 away
Played5
W / D / L1 / 2 / 2
Points per game1.0
Goals scored a game1.0
Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored70%(7 of 10)
Clean sheet20%(2 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners20%(2 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards33%(3 of 9)
Over 4.5 match cards22%(2 of 9)
Over 24.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides0%(0 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-19 · v Southampton
2-1
L
2026-09-11 · at West Ham
0-6
D
2026-09-08 · v Burnley
1-1
D
2026-09-05 · at Swansea
0-0
W
2026-09-02 · at Millwall
3-0
L
2026-08-28 · v Birmingham
1-2
D
2026-08-22 · v Watford
1-1
D
2026-08-17 · at Cardiff
1-1
D
2026-05-02 · v Middlesbrough
2-2
L
2026-04-26 · at Coventry
1-3
Head to head
50%50%
0 Derby 0%1 drawn 50%1 Wrexham 50%
Last 2 meetings, goals a game2.5
L2026-01-04 · Championship ·
Derby v Wrexham1-2
D2025-09-27 · Championship ·
Wrexham v Derby1-1
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Derby's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Derby
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Bobby Clark
M
8
2
2
0
Sammie Szmodics
M
7
2
1
0
Carlton Morris
F
4
1
1
0
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
F
7
1
0
0
M. Fuseini
M
4
1
0
2
Oscar Fraulo
M
6
0
1
1
Rhian Brewster
M
6
0
1
1
Charlie Taylor
D
8
0
0
1
Sondre Langås
D
8
0
0
3
Alex Mowatt
M
7
0
0
2
Corey Blackett-Taylor
M
7
0
0
2
Dion Sanderson
D
7
0
0
2
Jacob Widell Zetterström
G
7
0
0
0
Ryan Hedges
M
7
0
0
0
Joe Ward
M
6
0
0
0
Max Johnston
D
5
0
0
1
D. Ozoh
M
4
0
0
1
H. Meister
M
3
0
0
0
Lewis Travis
M
3
0
0
2
Ryan Nyambe
D
3
0
0
0
Craig Forsyth
D
2
0
0
0
E. Cashin
D
2
0
0
0
Filip Bilbija
M
2
0
0
0
J. Vickers
G
1
0
0
0
Owen Eames
M
1
0
0
0
Wrexham
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Kieffer Moore
F
8
3
0
1
Jacques Ekomié
M
6
2
0
0
Daniel Imray
M
6
1
2
0
Callum Doyle
D
8
1
0
0
Ben Whiteman
M
8
0
1
2
Lewis O'Brien
M
8
0
1
0
Issa Kaboré
M
6
0
1
1
Josh Windass
M
5
0
1
0
Anthony Patterson
G
8
0
0
0
Dominic Hyam
D
8
0
0
3
Sam Smith
F
8
0
0
0
Matty James
M
7
0
0
0
Oliver Rathbone
M
6
0
0
0
Ryan Longman
M
6
0
0
0
Zak Vyner
D
6
0
0
0
Callum O'Hare
M
4
0
0
0
Max Cleworth
D
4
0
0
0
Nathan Broadhead
M
3
0
0
1
Bailey Cadamarteri
F
2
0
0
1
George Dobson
M
2
0
0
0
George Thomason
M
2
0
0
0
B. Sheaf
M
1
0
0
0
Davis Keillor-Dunn
F
1
0
0
0
J. Worrall
D
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.