Major League Soccer · USA
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 19:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
38%Chicago Fire
25%Draw
37%New York City FC
62%Over 2.5
38%Under 2.5
76%Home corners over 3.5this league 78%
3.21Goals projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Chicago Fire and
10 for New York City FC. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners4.6
4.7
Shots13.4
12.1
Shots on target5.3
4.1
Fouls11.4
11.4
Yellow cards1.8
1.9
Offsides1.5
1.3
Possession %49.8
52.2
Expected goals1.45
1.71
Chicago Fire New York City FC
Recent form
Chicago Fireat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L4 / 4 / 2
Points per game1.6
Goals scored a game1.6
Goals conceded a game1.6
Last 4 at home
Played4
W / D / L2 / 1 / 1
Points per game1.75
Goals scored a game1.5
Goals conceded a game1.25
How often, last 10
Both teams scored80%(8 of 10)
Clean sheet10%(1 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals20%(2 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards20%(2 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides30%(3 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-26 · at Charlotte
1-0
L
2026-09-20 · at Nashville SC
0-3
L
2026-09-13 · v New England Revolution
1-2
D
2026-09-10 · v Inter Miami
1-1
D
2026-09-05 · at Toronto FC
4-4
D
2026-08-29 · at Seattle Sounders
2-2
D
2026-08-22 · at New York Red Bulls
1-1
W
2026-08-19 · at Orlando City SC
2-1
W
2026-08-16 · v Portland Timbers
2-1
W
2026-08-02 · v Charlotte
2-1
New York City FCaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L1 / 5 / 4
Points per game0.8
Goals scored a game1.1
Goals conceded a game1.3
Last 5 away
Played5
W / D / L1 / 3 / 1
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game1.4
Goals conceded a game1.2
How often, last 10
Both teams scored70%(7 of 10)
Clean sheet20%(2 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals20%(2 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards70%(7 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots40%(4 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides30%(3 of 10)
Results, newest first
D
2026-09-26 · at Atlanta United FC
2-2
L
2026-09-18 · v New York Red Bulls
0-1
W
2026-09-13 · at Real Salt Lake
2-0
L
2026-09-10 · v New England Revolution
1-2
D
2026-09-04 · v Nashville SC
0-0
D
2026-08-29 · at Toronto FC
1-1
D
2026-08-23 · at New England Revolution
1-1
L
2026-08-19 · at FC Cincinnati
1-2
L
2026-08-16 · v Philadelphia Union
2-3
D
2026-07-31 · v Toronto FC
1-1
Head to head
40%60%
0 Chicago Fire 0%2 drawn 40%3 New York City FC 60%
Last 5 meetings, goals a game3.2
L2026-07-25 · Major League Soccer ·
New York City FC v Chicago Fire3-1
L2025-09-14 · Major League Soccer ·
Chicago Fire v New York City FC1-3
L2025-05-25 · Major League Soccer ·
New York City FC v Chicago Fire3-1
D2024-08-24 · Major League Soccer ·
New York City FC v Chicago Fire2-2
D2024-07-14 · Major League Soccer ·
Chicago Fire v New York City FC0-0
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Chicago Fire's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Chicago Fire
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Hugo Cuypers
F
11
13
0
1
Maren Haile-Selassie
M
26
8
4
1
Robert Lewandowski
F
11
6
2
1
Philip Zinckernagel
M
25
5
8
4
Robin Lod
M
24
4
2
3
Jonathan Bamba
M
19
2
2
2
Puso Dithejane
M
19
2
1
2
Andrew Gutman
D
21
1
4
3
T. D'Avilla
M
25
1
0
6
Joel Waterman
M
15
1
0
5
Jack Elliott
D
24
0
1
5
Viktor Radojević
D
10
0
1
3
David Poreba
M
2
0
1
1
Chris Brady
G
25
0
0
1
Jonathan Dean
M
22
0
0
2
Anton Salétros
M
21
0
0
4
Mauricio Pineda
M
18
0
0
0
Leonardo Barroso
M
14
0
0
2
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
13
0
0
2
Jason Shokalook
F
9
0
0
0
Sergio Oregel
M
9
0
0
2
Samuel Rogers
D
8
0
0
2
Chris Mueller
F
5
0
0
1
Dylan Borso
M
4
0
0
1
Johan Gomez
M
4
0
0
0
Noah Allen
D
4
0
0
1
New York City FC
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Nicolás Fernández
M
26
15
4
7
Agustin Ojeda
M
27
5
9
1
Hannes Wolf
M
21
5
2
2
Luighi Hanri
F
9
4
0
2
Talles Magno
F
16
2
2
0
Andrés Perea
M
17
2
1
1
Keaton Parks
M
18
2
0
5
Maxi Moralez
M
14
1
6
1
Tayvon Gray
D
23
1
1
6
Malachi Jones
M
15
1
0
3
Bénie Traoré
M
12
1
0
0
James Sands
M
12
1
0
1
Aiden O'Neill
M
15
0
1
3
Matthew Freese
G
26
0
0
1
Thiago Martins
D
23
0
0
0
Raul Gustavo
D
21
0
0
4
Jonathan Shore
M
19
0
0
1
Kevin O'Toole
D
18
0
0
2
Nico Cavallo
M
16
0
0
2
Kai Trewin
M
15
0
0
3
Seymour Garfield-Reid
F
12
0
0
0
Arnau Farnos
M
8
0
0
0
Máximo Carrizo
M
6
0
0
0
Mitja Ilenič
D
5
0
0
0
Andrew Baiera
D
3
0
0
0
Strahinja Tanasijević
D
3
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.