Premier League · England
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
41%Chelsea
23%Draw
36%Bournemouth
58%Over 2.5
42%Under 2.5
91%Away fouls over 8.5this league 78%
89%Home corners over 3.5this league 72%
3.03Goals projected
12.3Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Chelsea and
10 for Bournemouth. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners5.6
5.2
Shots12.2
13.8
Shots on target4.1
4.9
Fouls10.1
12.0
Yellow cards2.6
2.4
Offsides1.67
1.9
Possession %50.3
48.8
Expected goals1.26
1.49
Chelsea Bournemouth
Recent form
Chelseaat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 2 / 5
Points per game1.1
Goals scored a game1.5
Goals conceded a game2.2
Last 4 at home
Played4
W / D / L2 / 1 / 1
Points per game1.75
Goals scored a game2.25
Goals conceded a game2.25
How often, last 10
Both teams scored80%(8 of 10)
Clean sheet0%(0 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals100%(10 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards80%(8 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides33%(3 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides0%(0 of 9)
Results, newest first
L
2026-09-18 · at Brentford
0-3
D
2026-09-12 · v Hull City
2-2
L
2026-09-06 · at Arsenal
1-2
W
2026-08-30 · v Brighton
4-3
W
2026-08-24 · at Fulham
3-2
L
2026-05-24 · at Sunderland
1-2
W
2026-05-19 · v Tottenham
2-1
D
2026-05-09 · at Liverpool
1-1
L
2026-05-04 · v Nottingham Forest
1-3
L
2026-04-21 · at Brighton
0-3
Bournemouthaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L2 / 6 / 2
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game1.4
Goals conceded a game1.2
Last 4 away
Played4
W / D / L1 / 2 / 1
Points per game1.25
Goals scored a game1.25
Goals conceded a game1.25
How often, last 10
Both teams scored70%(7 of 10)
Clean sheet20%(2 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals30%(3 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots40%(4 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides10%(1 of 10)
Results, newest first
L
2026-09-20 · v Liverpool
0-1
D
2026-09-12 · v Brentford
2-2
D
2026-09-05 · at Newcastle
2-2
D
2026-08-29 · v Everton
1-1
L
2026-08-23 · at Manchester City
1-2
D
2026-05-24 · at Nottingham Forest
1-1
D
2026-05-19 · v Manchester City
1-1
W
2026-05-09 · at Fulham
1-0
W
2026-05-03 · v Crystal Palace
3-0
D
2026-04-22 · v Leeds
2-2
Head to head
25%75%
1 Chelsea 25%3 drawn 75%0 Bournemouth 0%
Last 4 meetings, goals a game2.25
D2025-12-30 · Premier League ·
Chelsea v Bournemouth2-2
D2025-12-06 · Premier League ·
Bournemouth v Chelsea0-0
D2025-01-14 · Premier League ·
Chelsea v Bournemouth2-2
W2024-09-14 · Premier League ·
Bournemouth v Chelsea0-1
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Chelsea's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Chelsea
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
João Pedro
F
4
3
3
1
Morgan Rogers
M
5
3
1
1
Cole Palmer
M
5
2
2
1
Pedro Neto
M
5
1
0
0
Roméo Lavia
M
4
1
0
1
Jorrel Hato
M
4
0
2
0
Maxence Lacroix
D
5
0
1
1
Pep Chavarría
M
5
0
0
0
Emiliano Martínez
G
4
0
0
0
Estêvão
F
4
0
0
0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D
4
0
0
0
Levi Colwill
D
4
0
0
1
Malo Gusto
M
4
0
0
0
Reece James
M
4
0
0
1
Wesley Fofana
D
4
0
0
1
Danny Welbeck
F
3
0
0
0
Valentín Barco
M
3
0
0
1
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
M
2
0
0
0
Enzo Fernández
M
1
0
0
0
J. Henderson
M
1
0
0
0
M. Nicoll-Jazuli
M
1
0
0
0
Moisés Caicedo
M
1
0
0
0
Robert Sánchez
G
1
0
0
0
Bournemouth
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Marcus Tavernier
M
5
3
0
2
Alex Scott
M
5
1
0
1
Justin Kluivert
M
4
1
0
1
Evanilson
F
5
0
3
1
Adam Smith
D
5
0
0
3
Adrien Truffert
D
5
0
0
1
António Silva
D
5
0
0
2
James Hill
D
5
0
0
1
Lewis Cook
M
5
0
0
1
Rayan
M
5
0
0
0
Tyler Adams
M
5
0
0
0
Đorđe Petrović
G
5
0
0
0
Ben Gannon-Doak
F
4
0
0
0
David Brooks
M
4
0
0
1
Ryan Christie
M
4
0
0
0
Daniel Jebbison
F
3
0
0
0
Alex Tóth
M
2
0
0
0
Álvaro Rodriguez
F
2
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.