J's Footy Alerts

Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · Germany · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

68%Borussia Dortmund
19%Draw
13%Werder Bremen
68%Over 2.5
32%Under 2.5
95%Away fouls under 14.5 this league 85%
90%Home corners over 3.5 this league 76%
87%Home win or draw this league 72%
3.49Goals projected
13.1Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Borussia Dortmund and 10 for Werder Bremen. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 4.0
4.3
Shots 13.2
12.3
Shots on target 4.7
5.0
Fouls 11.7
10.4
Yellow cards 2.33
1.67
Offsides 1.2
2.33
Possession % 51.8
46.5
Expected goals 1.76
1.01
Borussia Dortmund Werder Bremen

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L7 / 0 / 3
  • Points per game2.1
  • Goals scored a game1.9
  • Goals conceded a game0.8
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L4 / 0 / 1
  • Points per game2.4
  • Goals scored a game2.4
  • Goals conceded a game0.6
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored30% (3 of 10)
  • Clean sheet50% (5 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards44% (4 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards33% (3 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-19 · at VfB Stuttgart 1-0
  • W 2026-09-12 · v SC Paderborn 07 3-0
  • W 2026-09-05 · at 1899 Hoffenheim 3-2
  • W 2026-08-29 · v Hamburger SV 2-0
  • W 2026-05-16 · at Werder Bremen 2-0
  • W 2026-05-08 · v Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2
  • L 2026-05-03 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-1
  • W 2026-04-26 · v SC Freiburg 4-0
  • L 2026-04-18 · at 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2
  • L 2026-04-11 · v Bayer Leverkusen 0-1
Werder Bremen away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L3 / 2 / 5
  • Points per game1.1
  • Goals scored a game1.4
  • Goals conceded a game1.9
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L0 / 2 / 3
  • Points per game0.4
  • Goals scored a game0.8
  • Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored80% (8 of 10)
  • Clean sheet0% (0 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards33% (3 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match cards22% (2 of 9)
  • Over 24.5 match shots100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides44% (4 of 9)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides33% (3 of 9)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-19 · v FC Augsburg 3-2
  • D 2026-09-12 · at 1. FC Köln 1-1
  • W 2026-09-05 · v RB Leipzig 3-1
  • L 2026-08-30 · at SC Freiburg 1-4
  • L 2026-05-16 · v Borussia Dortmund 0-2
  • L 2026-05-09 · at 1899 Hoffenheim 0-1
  • L 2026-05-02 · v FC Augsburg 1-3
  • D 2026-04-26 · at VfB Stuttgart 1-1
  • W 2026-04-18 · v Hamburger SV 3-1
  • L 2026-04-12 · at 1. FC Köln 1-3

Head to head

50% 50%
2 Borussia Dortmund 50% 2 drawn 50% 0 Werder Bremen 0%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Borussia Dortmund's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Borussia Dortmund
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Serhou Guirassy F 4 2 2 0
Felix Nmecha M 4 2 0 0
Fábio Silva M 3 2 0 0
Maximilian Beier M 4 1 1 1
Jobe Bellingham M 4 0 1 2
Marcel Sabitzer M 4 0 1 0
Waldemar Anton D 4 0 1 0
Konstantinos Karetsas M 3 0 1 0
Daniel Svensson M 4 0 0 1
Gregor Kobel G 4 0 0 0
Joey Veerman M 4 0 0 1
Julian Ryerson M 4 0 0 2
Kouakou Joane Gadou D 4 0 0 1
Ethan Nwaneri M 3 0 0 0
Filippo Mané D 2 0 0 0
N. Schlotterbeck D 2 0 0 1
R. Bensebaïni D 2 0 0 0
C. Chukwuemeka M 1 0 0 0
Giannis Konstantelias F 1 0 0 0
Kauã Prates D 1 0 0 0
Luca Reggiani D 1 0 0 1
Samuele Inacio F 1 0 0 0
Werder Bremen
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Niclas Füllkrug F 4 3 0 0
Marco Grüll M 4 2 3 1
Eren Dinkçi M 4 1 0 0
Dariusz Stalmach M 3 1 0 0
M. Weiser D 2 1 0 0
Chuky San José M 4 0 2 1
Amos Pieper D 4 0 0 0
Karl Hein G 4 0 0 0
Ludovit Reis M 4 0 0 1
Marco Friedl D 4 0 0 0
Mick Schmetgens D 4 0 0 0
Olivier Deman D 4 0 0 1
Arthur M 3 0 0 1
Cédric Itten F 3 0 0 0
Youri Regeer M 3 0 0 0
Paul Erevbenagie F 2 0 0 0
Salim Amani Musah F 2 0 0 0
Salim Musah F 2 0 0 0
Justin Njinmah F 1 0 0 0
O. Wójcik D 1 0 0 0
Patrice Čović M 1 0 0 0
Senne Lynen M 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.