J's Footy Alerts

Bolton v Stoke City

Championship · England · Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

No projection for this one. One of these sides has played fewer than 8 games in this division, so its form was earned against a different standard of opposition and the model would read it wrong.

11.4Corners projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 8 for Bolton and 10 for Stoke City. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 5.38
5.9
Shots 12.12
12.6
Shots on target 4.75
3.7
Fouls 11.0
14.5
Yellow cards 1.5
2.4
Offsides 2.0
2.8
Possession % 51.12
47.4
Bolton Stoke City

Recent form

Bolton at home
Last 8 in this league
  • Played8
  • W / D / L3 / 1 / 4
  • Points per game1.25
  • Goals scored a game1.38
  • Goals conceded a game1.88
Last 4 at home
  • Played4
  • W / D / L2 / 0 / 2
  • Points per game1.5
  • Goals scored a game1.25
  • Goals conceded a game1.25
How often, last 8
  • Both teams scored50% (4 of 8)
  • Clean sheet25% (2 of 8)
  • Failed to score38% (3 of 8)
  • Over 1.5 match goals62% (5 of 8)
  • Over 2.5 match goals62% (5 of 8)
  • Over 3.5 match goals50% (4 of 8)
  • Over 8.5 match corners62% (5 of 8)
  • Over 9.5 match corners62% (5 of 8)
  • Over 3.5 match cards25% (2 of 8)
  • Over 4.5 match cards25% (2 of 8)
  • Over 24.5 match shots50% (4 of 8)
  • Over 26.5 match shots25% (2 of 8)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target100% (8 of 8)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target88% (7 of 8)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides100% (8 of 8)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides88% (7 of 8)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-19 · at Norwich 4-3
  • W 2026-09-12 · v Cardiff 1-0
  • L 2026-09-08 · v West Ham 2-3
  • L 2026-09-05 · at Millwall 0-4
  • L 2026-09-01 · at Sheffield Utd 2-3
  • L 2026-08-29 · v Lincoln 0-1
  • D 2026-08-22 · at QPR 0-0
  • W 2026-08-15 · v Preston 2-1
Stoke City away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L4 / 1 / 5
  • Points per game1.3
  • Goals scored a game1.4
  • Goals conceded a game1.7
Last 5 away
  • Played5
  • W / D / L1 / 1 / 3
  • Points per game0.8
  • Goals scored a game1.0
  • Goals conceded a game2.2
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored70% (7 of 10)
  • Clean sheet20% (2 of 10)
  • Failed to score10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals90% (9 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target30% (3 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides40% (4 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • W 2026-09-19 · v Sheffield Utd 2-1
  • W 2026-09-12 · at Watford 2-1
  • D 2026-09-08 · at Cardiff 1-1
  • W 2026-09-05 · v Charlton 4-0
  • W 2026-09-01 · v Norwich 1-0
  • L 2026-08-29 · at Wolves 1-4
  • L 2026-08-22 · at Southampton 1-3
  • L 2026-08-15 · v Swansea 1-2
  • L 2026-05-02 · at Bristol City 0-2
  • L 2026-04-25 · v Portsmouth 1-3

Head to head

These two have not met in any competition we hold data for.

Squads this season

Bolton
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Thierry Gale M 8 3 1 2
Sam Dalby F 8 3 0 0
Rúben Rodrigues M 5 1 1 0
Ethan Erhahon M 7 1 0 0
Gaizka Larrazabal M 7 1 0 1
Xavier Simons M 3 1 0 0
A. Ito M 2 1 0 0
Max Conway D 8 0 1 0
Samuel Iling Junior M 8 0 1 1
Kyliane Dong M 7 0 1 1
John McAtee M 6 0 1 1
T. Bair F 3 0 1 0
Josh Sheehan M 8 0 0 1
Chris Forino D 6 0 0 1
Ryan Hardie F 6 0 0 1
Akin Famewo D 5 0 0 1
Ben Davies D 5 0 0 1
Jack Bonham G 5 0 0 0
Lewis Brunt D 5 0 0 0
Eoin Toal D 4 0 0 0
Jayden Nelson F 4 0 0 1
G. Bazunu G 3 0 0 0
David Watson M 1 0 0 0
Luca Stephenson D 1 0 0 0
Stoke City
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Ethan Galbraith M 8 3 1 4
Eric Bocat M 8 2 2 1
Sam Gallagher M 6 2 1 2
Jack McGlynn M 4 2 0 0
Justin Devenny M 4 2 0 1
Ben Johnson M 7 1 0 0
George Hirst F 7 1 0 1
Róbert Boženík F 6 0 1 0
Lamine Cissé F 4 0 1 0
Tomáš Rigo M 3 0 1 0
J. Tchamadeu D 1 0 1 0
Ben Wilmot D 8 0 0 1
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M 8 0 0 1
Viktor Johansson G 8 0 0 0
Luke Graham D 6 0 0 2
Maksym Talovierov D 6 0 0 2
Jun-Ho Bae M 5 0 0 1
L. Bombino M 4 0 0 0
Million Manhoef M 4 0 0 0
B. Lawal D 3 0 0 2
Ben Pearson M 3 0 0 0
Bosun Lawal D 3 0 0 1
Sorba Thomas M 3 0 0 1
Svante Ingelsson M 2 0 0 2
Ben Gibson D 1 0 0 0
Tyler Martin F 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.