J's Footy Alerts

Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer · USA · Sunday 11 October 2026, 00:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned. Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs' last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast. Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.

What the model makes of it

41%Atlanta United FC
21%Draw
38%FC Cincinnati
58%Over 2.5
42%Under 2.5
72%Home corners over 3.5 this league 76%
3.03Goals projected

Main markets overview

Each side's own average a game in this division, last 10 for Atlanta United FC and 10 for FC Cincinnati. The bar splits at the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.

Corners 5.0
5.67
Shots 11.5
15.78
Shots on target 3.3
5.78
Fouls 10.7
8.56
Yellow cards 2.0
1.88
Offsides 2.4
2.0
Possession % 48.7
54.0
Expected goals 1.21
1.49
Atlanta United FC FC Cincinnati

Recent form

Atlanta United FC at home
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L4 / 3 / 3
  • Points per game1.5
  • Goals scored a game1.5
  • Goals conceded a game1.5
Last 5 at home
  • Played5
  • W / D / L2 / 1 / 2
  • Points per game1.4
  • Goals scored a game1.6
  • Goals conceded a game1.8
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored70% (7 of 10)
  • Clean sheet20% (2 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 9.5 match corners70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match cards60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match cards40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 24.5 match shots50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 26.5 match shots40% (4 of 10)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target50% (5 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target10% (1 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides70% (7 of 10)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides50% (5 of 10)
Results, newest first
  • D 2026-09-26 · v New York City FC 2-2
  • W 2026-09-20 · at Portland Timbers 1-0
  • D 2026-09-12 · at DC United 0-0
  • L 2026-09-09 · v Orlando City SC 2-3
  • D 2026-09-05 · at Inter Miami 2-2
  • L 2026-08-29 · v Charlotte 0-2
  • W 2026-08-23 · v Sporting Kansas City 2-1
  • W 2026-08-20 · at Minnesota United FC 2-1
  • W 2026-08-15 · v New York Red Bulls 2-1
  • L 2026-08-01 · at Philadelphia Union 2-3
FC Cincinnati away
Last 10 in this league
  • Played10
  • W / D / L2 / 4 / 4
  • Points per game1.0
  • Goals scored a game1.5
  • Goals conceded a game2.4
Last 6 away
  • Played6
  • W / D / L0 / 2 / 4
  • Points per game0.33
  • Goals scored a game0.83
  • Goals conceded a game2.83
How often, last 10
  • Both teams scored80% (8 of 10)
  • Clean sheet0% (0 of 10)
  • Failed to score20% (2 of 10)
  • Over 1.5 match goals100% (10 of 10)
  • Over 2.5 match goals80% (8 of 10)
  • Over 3.5 match goals60% (6 of 10)
  • Over 8.5 match corners78% (7 of 9)
  • Over 9.5 match corners67% (6 of 9)
  • Over 3.5 match cards38% (3 of 8)
  • Over 4.5 match cards25% (2 of 8)
  • Over 24.5 match shots89% (8 of 9)
  • Over 26.5 match shots78% (7 of 9)
  • Over 7.5 match shots on target89% (8 of 9)
  • Over 8.5 match shots on target78% (7 of 9)
  • Over 3.5 match offsides38% (3 of 8)
  • Over 4.5 match offsides12% (1 of 8)
Results, newest first
  • L 2026-09-26 · at CF Montreal 1-3
  • D 2026-09-20 · at Houston Dynamo 2-2
  • D 2026-09-12 · v Charlotte 3-3
  • L 2026-09-09 · at Philadelphia Union 0-5
  • L 2026-08-30 · at Nashville SC 0-4
  • D 2026-08-22 · v Seattle Sounders 1-1
  • W 2026-08-19 · v New York City FC 2-1
  • D 2026-08-15 · at Orlando City SC 1-1
  • W 2026-08-01 · v San Jose Earthquakes 4-2
  • L 2026-07-25 · at Columbus Crew 1-2

Head to head

20% 20% 60%
1 Atlanta United FC 20% 1 drawn 20% 3 FC Cincinnati 60%

Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like (a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Atlanta United FC's side, whichever club was actually at home that day.

Squads this season

Atlanta United FC
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Aleksey Miranchuk M 25 6 6 1
Miguel Almirón M 20 4 4 0
Tristan Muyumba M 27 4 1 5
Tomás Jacob M 24 3 2 7
Fafà Picault F 18 3 1 1
Ajani Fortune M 14 3 0 0
Emmanuel Latte Lath F 14 2 2 1
Saba Lobzhanidze M 13 2 0 0
Elías Báez M 24 1 3 6
Breel Embolo F 5 1 0 0
Giuliano Galoppo M 2 1 0 1
Cooper Sanchez M 24 0 1 6
Matthew Edwards M 18 0 1 3
Lucas Hoyos G 27 0 0 2
Enea Mihaj D 22 0 0 3
Luke Brennan M 17 0 0 2
Stian Gregersen D 15 0 0 3
Steven Alzate M 13 0 0 1
Junior Alonso D 11 0 0 1
William Reilly M 11 0 0 3
Matías Galarza M 10 0 0 2
Juan Berrocal D 9 0 0 2
Cayman Togashi F 7 0 0 0
Pedro Amador D 7 0 0 0
Ronald Hernández D 7 0 0 1
Adrian Gill M 6 0 0 1
FC Cincinnati
PlayerAppsGoalsAssistsYel
Kévin Denkey F 23 13 3 4
Evander M 23 12 8 4
Pavel Bucha M 23 6 4 2
Tom Barlow M 25 6 1 2
Kenji Mboma Dem M 21 5 1 1
Ender Echenique M 22 1 5 1
Gerardo Valenzuela M 22 1 4 2
Bryan Ramirez M 23 1 3 8
Ayoub Jabbari F 22 1 2 1
Andrei Chirila D 9 1 1 1
Kyle Smith M 20 1 0 1
Nick Hagglund D 17 1 0 1
Samuel Gidi M 24 0 1 4
Matthew Miazga D 14 0 1 6
Alvas Powell D 11 0 1 0
Roman Celentano G 23 0 0 1
Obinna Nwobodo M 19 0 0 6
Miles Robinson D 18 0 0 1
Tah Anunga M 15 0 0 2
Teenage Hadebe D 13 0 0 2
Gilberto Flores D 7 0 0 1
Ayoub Lajhar D 4 0 0 1
Evan Louro G 2 0 0 0
K. Fletcher F 2 0 0 0
D. Douděra M 1 0 0 0
Stiven Jimenez M 1 0 0 0

These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10" means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than 5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage, because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them. Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition - so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition. A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.