Premier League · England
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
48%Aston Villa
24%Draw
28%Brentford
54%Over 2.5
46%Under 2.5
96%Home fouls under 14.5this league 85%
81%Away corners over 2.5this league 74%
2.85Goals projected
8.5Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Aston Villa and
10 for Brentford. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners4.1
4.5
Shots10.7
13.6
Shots on target3.5
4.0
Fouls10.5
11.9
Yellow cards1.8
2.2
Offsides1.2
1.2
Possession %49.3
46.8
Expected goals1.11
1.71
Aston Villa Brentford
Recent form
Aston Villaat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 2 / 5
Points per game1.1
Goals scored a game1.3
Goals conceded a game1.7
Last 4 at home
Played4
W / D / L1 / 0 / 3
Points per game0.75
Goals scored a game1.5
Goals conceded a game1.75
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet10%(1 of 10)
Failed to score40%(4 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots60%(6 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides80%(8 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides60%(6 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-19 · at Tottenham
3-2
L
2026-09-12 · v Nottingham Forest
1-2
D
2026-09-05 · at Hull City
0-0
L
2026-08-31 · v Arsenal
0-1
L
2026-08-23 · at Brighton
0-4
W
2026-05-24 · at Manchester City
2-1
W
2026-05-15 · v Liverpool
4-2
D
2026-05-10 · at Burnley
2-2
L
2026-05-03 · v Tottenham
1-2
L
2026-04-25 · at Fulham
0-1
Brentfordaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 5 / 2
Points per game1.4
Goals scored a game1.7
Goals conceded a game1.2
Last 5 away
Played5
W / D / L0 / 3 / 2
Points per game0.6
Goals scored a game1.0
Goals conceded a game1.8
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet30%(3 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals100%(10 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals20%(2 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners70%(7 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards80%(8 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots90%(9 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides30%(3 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides10%(1 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-18 · v Chelsea
3-0
D
2026-09-12 · at Bournemouth
2-2
D
2026-09-05 · v Sunderland
1-1
D
2026-08-30 · at Leeds
1-1
W
2026-08-22 · v Tottenham
3-0
D
2026-05-24 · at Liverpool
1-1
D
2026-05-17 · v Crystal Palace
2-2
L
2026-05-09 · at Manchester City
0-3
W
2026-05-02 · v West Ham
3-0
L
2026-04-27 · at Manchester United
1-2
Head to head
40%20%40%
2 Aston Villa 40%1 drawn 20%2 Brentford 40%
Last 5 meetings, goals a game1.8
L2026-02-01 · Premier League ·
Aston Villa v Brentford0-1
D2025-09-16 · League Cup ·
Brentford v Aston Villa1-1
L2025-08-23 · Premier League ·
Brentford v Aston Villa1-0
W2025-03-08 · Premier League ·
Brentford v Aston Villa0-1
W2024-12-04 · Premier League ·
Aston Villa v Brentford3-1
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Aston Villa's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Aston Villa
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
J. Manzambi
M
2
1
1
0
Emiliano Buendía
M
5
1
0
0
Alysson Edward
F
4
1
0
1
Nicolas Jackson
F
4
1
0
2
John McGinn
M
5
0
2
2
Boubacar Kamara
M
5
0
1
0
George Hemmings
M
5
0
0
0
Ross Barkley
M
5
0
0
0
Victor Lindelöf
D
5
0
0
0
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
D
4
0
0
0
Ian Maatsen
D
4
0
0
1
Matty Cash
D
4
0
0
2
Tammy Abraham
F
4
0
0
0
Tyrone Mings
D
4
0
0
1
Zion Suzuki
G
4
0
0
0
Alejandro Garnacho
F
3
0
0
0
Matteo Ruggeri
D
3
0
0
0
Pau Torres
D
3
0
0
0
I. Mbaye
F
2
0
0
0
João Gomes
M
2
0
0
1
Lamare Bogarde
M
1
0
0
0
Marco Bizot
G
1
0
0
0
Brentford
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Kevin Schade
M
5
3
0
0
Vitaly Janelt
M
5
2
0
3
Keane Lewis-Potter
D
5
1
1
0
Jaidon Anthony
M
5
1
0
1
Michael Kayode
D
5
1
0
0
Thiago
F
5
1
0
2
Fábio Carvalho
M
1
1
0
0
Mamadou Sangare
M
5
0
1
2
Yehor Yarmoliuk
M
5
0
1
1
Jannik Schuster
D
3
0
1
0
Aaron Hickey
D
5
0
0
0
Caoimhin Kelleher
G
5
0
0
0
Dango Ouattara
M
5
0
0
0
Kristoffer Ajer
D
5
0
0
1
Mikkel Damsgaard
M
5
0
0
0
Callum Wilson
F
3
0
0
0
Nathan Collins
D
3
0
0
1
E. Diouf
D
2
0
0
0
Mathias Jensen
M
1
0
0
0
Rico Henry
D
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.