La Liga · Spain
· Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
39%Alaves
26%Draw
35%Atletico Madrid
53%Over 2.5
47%Under 2.5
87%Away fouls over 8.5this league 84%
82%Away corners over 2.5this league 76%
2.8Goals projected
10.7Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Alaves and
10 for Atletico Madrid. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners4.8
5.7
Shots12.2
15.0
Shots on target4.6
5.7
Fouls14.0
11.7
Yellow cards1.9
2.0
Offsides3.56
1.7
Possession %39.6
54.0
Expected goals1.38
1.19
Alaves Atletico Madrid
Recent form
Alavesat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L5 / 2 / 3
Points per game1.7
Goals scored a game1.4
Goals conceded a game0.8
Last 6 at home
Played6
W / D / L4 / 0 / 2
Points per game2.0
Goals scored a game1.83
Goals conceded a game0.83
How often, last 10
Both teams scored40%(4 of 10)
Clean sheet50%(5 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals50%(5 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals10%(1 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards40%(4 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots30%(3 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target40%(4 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides67%(6 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides44%(4 of 9)
Results, newest first
D
2026-09-20 · at Athletic Club
0-0
L
2026-09-16 · v Valencia
0-1
L
2026-09-13 · at Racing Santander
1-2
W
2026-09-06 · v Osasuna
5-2
W
2026-08-28 · v Villarreal
1-0
D
2026-08-20 · at Rayo Vallecano
1-1
W
2026-08-15 · v Getafe
3-0
L
2026-05-23 · v Rayo Vallecano
1-2
W
2026-05-17 · at Oviedo
1-0
W
2026-05-13 · v Barcelona
1-0
Atletico Madridaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L7 / 1 / 2
Points per game2.2
Goals scored a game2.0
Goals conceded a game1.3
Last 5 away
Played5
W / D / L3 / 0 / 2
Points per game1.8
Goals scored a game1.8
Goals conceded a game2.0
How often, last 10
Both teams scored50%(5 of 10)
Clean sheet40%(4 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target90%(9 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides30%(3 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides0%(0 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-20 · v Real Madrid
2-1
W
2026-09-16 · v Osasuna
4-0
W
2026-09-13 · at Real Sociedad
3-0
L
2026-09-05 · at Athletic Club
0-3
W
2026-08-29 · at Sevilla
3-1
D
2026-08-23 · v Villarreal
2-2
W
2026-08-19 · v Malaga
2-0
L
2026-05-24 · at Villarreal
1-5
W
2026-05-17 · v Girona
1-0
W
2026-05-12 · at Osasuna
2-1
Head to head
50%50%
0 Alaves 0%2 drawn 50%2 Atletico Madrid 50%
Last 4 meetings, goals a game1.5
L2026-01-18 · La Liga ·
Atletico Madrid v Alaves1-0
D2025-08-30 · La Liga ·
Alaves v Atletico Madrid1-1
D2025-05-03 · La Liga ·
Alaves v Atletico Madrid0-0
L2024-11-23 · La Liga ·
Atletico Madrid v Alaves2-1
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Alaves's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Alaves
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Lucas Boyé
F
6
4
0
0
Mariano Díaz
F
7
3
3
2
Nahuel Tenaglia
D
7
1
0
2
Pablo Ibáñez
M
7
1
0
1
Ville Koski
D
7
1
0
0
Mikel Rodriguez
M
2
1
0
0
Ángel Pérez
M
7
0
3
0
Sivera
G
7
0
1
1
Carles Aleñá
M
6
0
1
0
Abderrahman Rebbach
M
7
0
0
3
Antonio Blanco
M
7
0
0
3
Denis Suárez
M
6
0
0
1
Jonny Otto
D
6
0
0
0
Toni Martínez
F
6
0
0
0
Yusi
D
6
0
0
0
Aitor Mañas
F
4
0
0
0
Nicolás Valentini
D
4
0
0
1
Carlos Benavídez
M
3
0
0
0
Guevara
M
3
0
0
0
Miguel Rodríguez
F
3
0
0
0
A. Manas
F
1
0
0
0
Mikel Rodriguez
M
1
0
0
0
Xanet Olaiz
D
1
0
0
0
Atletico Madrid
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Álex Baena
M
7
4
1
1
J. David
F
3
3
1
0
Giuliano Simeone
M
7
2
2
0
Lee Kang-In
M
7
2
1
1
Álex Grimaldo
M
6
2
1
0
Ademola Lookman
M
7
1
0
1
Marc Pubill
D
6
1
0
2
Robin Le Normand
D
4
1
0
0
Dávid Hancko
D
7
0
2
1
Marcos Llorente
M
7
0
1
1
Johnny Cardoso
M
5
0
1
1
Pablo Barrios
M
4
0
1
0
Jan Oblak
G
7
0
0
0
Koke
M
7
0
0
0
Morten Hjulmand
M
7
0
0
1
Arnau Ortiz
M
5
0
0
0
Cristian Romero
D
4
0
0
1
Julián Alvarez
F
3
0
0
0
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
3
0
0
0
José María Giménez
D
2
0
0
1
Carlos Martín
M
1
0
0
0
Dani Martinez
D
1
0
0
0
Jorge Domínguez
D
1
0
0
1
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.