Eredivisie · Netherlands
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 20:00 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
39%Ajax
22%Draw
39%NEC Nijmegen
72%Over 2.5
28%Under 2.5
85%Home corners under 7.5this league 76%
3.75Goals projected
11.7Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for Ajax and
10 for NEC Nijmegen. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners7.4
6.3
Shots23.2
17.6
Shots on target7.5
5.1
Fouls9.8
11.2
Yellow cards2.22
1.6
Offsides1.89
1.89
Possession %62.3
60.6
Expected goals1.83
2.21
Ajax NEC Nijmegen
Recent form
Ajaxat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L5 / 4 / 1
Points per game1.9
Goals scored a game2.3
Goals conceded a game0.9
Last 6 at home
Played6
W / D / L2 / 3 / 1
Points per game1.5
Goals scored a game2.0
Goals conceded a game1.33
How often, last 10
Both teams scored50%(5 of 10)
Clean sheet50%(5 of 10)
Failed to score20%(2 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners80%(8 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards56%(5 of 9)
Over 4.5 match cards33%(3 of 9)
Over 24.5 match shots80%(8 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots80%(8 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target90%(9 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides44%(4 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides33%(3 of 9)
Results, newest first
D
2026-09-19 · v Excelsior
2-2
W
2026-09-15 · v Willem II
5-1
W
2026-09-12 · at Fortuna Sittard
5-1
L
2026-09-05 · v PSV Eindhoven
1-3
W
2026-08-30 · at Telstar
4-0
D
2026-08-16 · v Heerenveen
2-2
W
2026-08-09 · at PEC Zwolle
2-0
D
2026-05-24 · v Utrecht
0-0
W
2026-05-21 · v Groningen
2-0
D
2026-05-17 · at Heerenveen
0-0
NEC Nijmegenaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 3 / 4
Points per game1.2
Goals scored a game1.6
Goals conceded a game1.7
Last 4 away
Played4
W / D / L2 / 0 / 2
Points per game1.5
Goals scored a game2.0
Goals conceded a game1.75
How often, last 10
Both teams scored90%(9 of 10)
Clean sheet0%(0 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals100%(10 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals40%(4 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners70%(7 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards20%(2 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots50%(5 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target80%(8 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target50%(5 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides33%(3 of 9)
Over 4.5 match offsides22%(2 of 9)
Results, newest first
D
2026-09-20 · v GO Ahead Eagles
1-1
L
2026-09-13 · at Cambuur
0-3
L
2026-09-05 · v Feyenoord
1-3
W
2026-08-29 · at PEC Zwolle
3-1
D
2026-08-22 · v Excelsior
2-2
W
2026-08-15 · at Willem II
4-1
L
2026-08-08 · v Telstar
1-2
W
2026-05-17 · v GO Ahead Eagles
2-1
L
2026-05-10 · at Groningen
1-2
D
2026-05-02 · v Telstar
1-1
Head to head
25%50%25%
1 Ajax 25%2 drawn 50%1 NEC Nijmegen 25%
Last 4 meetings, goals a game3.0
D2026-02-21 · Eredivisie ·
Ajax v NEC Nijmegen1-1
D2025-12-20 · Eredivisie ·
NEC Nijmegen v Ajax2-2
L2025-05-11 · Eredivisie ·
Ajax v NEC Nijmegen0-3
W2024-12-01 · Eredivisie ·
NEC Nijmegen v Ajax1-2
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from Ajax's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
Ajax
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Julian Brandt
M
7
4
0
0
Tolu Arokodare
F
6
3
1
0
Davy Klaassen
M
7
3
0
2
Kasper Dolberg
F
6
2
3
0
Oscar Gloukh
M
7
1
4
1
Steven Berghuis
M
6
1
2
1
Thilo Kehrer
D
4
1
1
0
Viktor Tsygankov
F
4
1
1
0
Abdellah Ouazane
M
7
1
0
2
Jorthy Mokio
M
7
1
0
1
Youri Baas
D
7
1
0
2
Marcos Leonardo
F
4
1
0
0
Caio Henrique
D
7
0
1
1
Lucas Rosa
D
3
0
1
1
Mika Godts
F
1
0
1
0
Marc-André Ter Stegen
G
6
0
0
0
Aaron Bouwman
D
4
0
0
1
Anton Gaaei
D
4
0
0
1
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
F
4
0
0
0
Sofyan Amrabat
M
4
0
0
0
Dies Janse
D
2
0
0
0
O. Wijndal
D
2
0
0
0
Youri Regeer
M
2
0
0
1
Jofre Torrents
D
1
0
0
0
M. Paes
G
1
0
0
0
NEC Nijmegen
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Tjaronn Chery
M
6
3
2
0
Perr Schuurs
D
4
2
1
0
Adam Tahaui
M
6
2
0
0
Kaj Sierhuis
F
4
2
0
0
Noé Lebreton
M
7
1
0
2
Bryan Linssen
F
6
1
0
0
Darko Nejašmić
M
5
1
0
0
Clement Bischoff
M
6
0
1
0
Dušan Tadić
M
6
0
1
1
Emre Mor
F
4
0
1
0
Willum Thor Willumsson
M
3
0
1
0
Jamiro Monteiro
M
6
0
0
1
Tobias Storm
D
6
0
0
2
Bram Nuytinck
D
5
0
0
0
Gonzalo Crettaz
G
5
0
0
0
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
D
4
0
0
2
Dennis Geiger
M
4
0
0
0
Ayodele Thomas
M
3
0
0
0
Brayann Pereira
D
3
0
0
1
Deveron Fonville
D
3
0
0
0
Gabriel Brás
D
3
0
0
0
Kevin Kers
M
3
0
0
0
N. Polster
G
3
0
0
0
Philippe Sandler
D
3
0
0
1
Isak Hansen Aarøen
M
2
0
0
1
Sami Ouaissa
M
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.