Bundesliga · Germany
· Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 BST
Referee: not yet assigned.
Every figure below is a record of what happened in these clubs'
last 10 matches in this division - counted, not forecast.
Each percentage carries the number of matches it was taken over, and anything
with fewer than 5 is shown as a count instead.
Last updated 05 October 2026, 23:55 BST.
What the model makes of it
64%1899 Hoffenheim
20%Draw
16%Hamburger SV
55%Over 2.5
45%Under 2.5
94%Home fouls over 8.5this league 64%
84%Home win or drawthis league 69%
2.88Goals projected
11.1Corners projected
Main markets overview
Each side's own average a game in this division, last
10 for 1899 Hoffenheim and
10 for Hamburger SV. The bar splits at
the centre line; the longer side is whichever team averages more of that
statistic, not whichever result would be better for them.
Corners6.5
3.3
Shots16.5
11.2
Shots on target5.0
4.2
Fouls14.3
12.8
Yellow cards2.7
1.6
Offsides2.12
1.4
Possession %57.3
42.1
Expected goals1.67
1.14
1899 Hoffenheim Hamburger SV
Recent form
1899 Hoffenheimat home
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L4 / 2 / 4
Points per game1.4
Goals scored a game1.7
Goals conceded a game2.1
Last 5 at home
Played5
W / D / L3 / 1 / 1
Points per game2.0
Goals scored a game2.0
Goals conceded a game1.6
How often, last 10
Both teams scored80%(8 of 10)
Clean sheet10%(1 of 10)
Failed to score10%(1 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals90%(9 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals60%(6 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners80%(8 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards50%(5 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots80%(8 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target70%(7 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides38%(3 of 8)
Over 4.5 match offsides25%(2 of 8)
Results, newest first
L
2026-09-20 · at SC Paderborn 07
1-3
W
2026-09-12 · v VfB Stuttgart
2-1
L
2026-09-05 · v Borussia Dortmund
2-3
L
2026-08-29 · at 1. FC Köln
2-3
L
2026-05-16 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-4
W
2026-05-09 · v Werder Bremen
1-0
D
2026-05-02 · v VfB Stuttgart
3-3
W
2026-04-25 · at Hamburger SV
2-1
W
2026-04-18 · v Borussia Dortmund
2-1
D
2026-04-10 · at FC Augsburg
2-2
Hamburger SVaway
Last 10 in this league
Played10
W / D / L3 / 1 / 6
Points per game1.0
Goals scored a game1.0
Goals conceded a game2.6
Last 6 away
Played6
W / D / L1 / 1 / 4
Points per game0.67
Goals scored a game0.67
Goals conceded a game2.67
How often, last 10
Both teams scored60%(6 of 10)
Clean sheet0%(0 of 10)
Failed to score40%(4 of 10)
Over 1.5 match goals100%(10 of 10)
Over 2.5 match goals80%(8 of 10)
Over 3.5 match goals50%(5 of 10)
Over 8.5 match corners70%(7 of 10)
Over 9.5 match corners60%(6 of 10)
Over 3.5 match cards60%(6 of 10)
Over 4.5 match cards30%(3 of 10)
Over 24.5 match shots80%(8 of 10)
Over 26.5 match shots70%(7 of 10)
Over 7.5 match shots on target100%(10 of 10)
Over 8.5 match shots on target90%(9 of 10)
Over 3.5 match offsides10%(1 of 10)
Over 4.5 match offsides10%(1 of 10)
Results, newest first
W
2026-09-19 · v 1. FC Köln
2-1
L
2026-09-13 · at RB Leipzig
0-5
L
2026-09-06 · v FSV Mainz 05
0-5
L
2026-08-29 · at Borussia Dortmund
0-2
D
2026-05-16 · at Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
W
2026-05-10 · v SC Freiburg
3-2
W
2026-05-02 · at Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1
L
2026-04-25 · v 1899 Hoffenheim
1-2
L
2026-04-18 · at Werder Bremen
1-3
L
2026-04-12 · at VfB Stuttgart
0-4
Head to head
100%
2 1899 Hoffenheim 100%0 drawn 0%0 Hamburger SV 0%
Last 2 meetings, goals a game4.0
W2026-04-25 · Bundesliga ·
Hamburger SV v 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
W2025-12-13 · Bundesliga ·
1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV4-1
Every competition, including cups - so a tie here may have been played under
very different circumstances from a league match. The colour on each share above
is relative to what an EVEN record between these two sides would look like
(a third each) - not the fixed high/mid/low cut-offs used on a form rate
elsewhere on this page - because a head-to-head has no league average to be
measured against. The W/D/L mark on each meeting is from 1899 Hoffenheim's
side, whichever club was actually at home that day.
Squads this season
1899 Hoffenheim
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Adam Daghim
M
4
2
2
0
Adam Hložek
F
4
2
0
0
Leon Avdullahu
M
4
1
0
0
Ozan Kabak
D
4
1
0
2
Tim Lemperle
F
3
1
0
0
Bambasé Conté
M
4
0
2
0
Vladimír Coufal
D
4
0
2
0
Max Moerstedt
F
3
0
1
1
Albian Hajdari
D
4
0
0
1
Andrej Kramarić
F
4
0
0
1
Mats Rots
D
4
0
0
0
Oliver Baumann
G
4
0
0
0
Patrick Wimmer
M
4
0
0
0
Wouter Burger
M
4
0
0
3
F. Asllani
F
2
0
0
0
K. Machida
D
2
0
0
0
Nathan De Cat
M
2
0
0
0
Robin Hranáč
D
2
0
0
0
Bernardo
D
1
0
0
0
V. Gendrey
D
1
0
0
0
Hamburger SV
Player
Apps
Goals
Assists
Yel
Nicolás Capaldo
D
4
1
0
1
Yussuf Poulsen
F
3
1
0
0
Albert Grønbæk
M
4
0
2
1
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
G
4
0
0
0
Jordan Torunarigha
D
4
0
0
0
Nicolai Remberg
M
4
0
0
0
Patson Daka
M
4
0
0
0
Terem Moffi
F
4
0
0
0
Albert Sambi Lokonga
M
3
0
0
1
Bakery Jatta
M
3
0
0
0
D. Møller Wolfe
M
3
0
0
0
Fábio Vieira
M
3
0
0
0
Louis Lemke
M
3
0
0
0
Martin Adeline
M
3
0
0
0
Otto Stange
F
3
0
0
0
Z. El Ouahdi
M
3
0
0
1
Bilal Nadir
M
2
0
0
0
S. Nandja
D
2
0
0
1
Sebastiaan Bornauw
D
2
0
0
0
W. Omari
D
2
0
0
0
Rayan Philippe
F
1
0
0
0
These are counts, not forecasts. Everything outside the model block
is a description of matches that have already been played: "over 2.5 goals, 7 of 10"
means seven of this side's last ten in this division finished with three or more, and
it is not a statement about this one. A rate over fewer than
5 matches is printed as a count with no percentage,
because a handful of matches is fully described by naming them.
Form is scoped to this division deliberately - a side promoted or relegated
in the summer earned its earlier record against a different standard of opposition -
so a newly promoted club shows fewer matches rather than a longer record from
somewhere else. Head to head is the one section that reads every competition.
A statistic the data source does not report is shown as "not reported" rather than as
zero; expected goals in particular is carried in the top divisions and largely absent
below the second tier, so it is withheld there rather than averaged over the third of
matches that have it. Model percentages are measured walk-forward against a base rate
and not against a bookmaker's price. Not betting advice.